Take Action Alaska

Senate (Flip, Peltola)

Alaska’s ranked-choice non-partisan primary will be held August 18. The field includes the incumbent Republican Senator, Democrat Mary Peltola, a second Republican candidate, and a member of the Green Party. The top four primary vote-getters will advance to the November general election. Peltola first won in a special election as the At-Large U.S. Representative in June 2022 and won the November election that year. The first Alaska Native and first Democrat in 49 years to represent the state in the U.S. House, she lost in the 2024 election.

In Alaska’s At-Large congressional district, Democrats are hoping to flip the seat that Peltola lost by 2 points to Republican Rep. Nick Begich III, though the race is an uphill battle. Two Democrats and an Independent are running, though only one, Matthew Schultz, has raised any money for his campaign. Schultz is a Presbyterian pastor in Anchorage.

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COMPETITIVE CA RACES
StateDistrictIncumbentParty in PowerPartisan LeanCook RatingPrimary DateDem Candidate$ Raised (Dem)Rep Candidate$ Raised (Rep)
ArizonaAZ-01OPEN (David Schweikert)RepublicanR+1Toss Up21-Jul-26Yes
ArizonaAZ-06Juan CiscomaniRepublicanEVENToss Up21-Jul-26Juan CiscomaniH2AZ02360$3,944,898Yes
CaliforniaCA-13Adam GrayDemocraticD+2Lean D2-Jun-26Adam GrayH2CA13115$2,321,497
CaliforniaCA-22David ValadaoRepublicanD+1Toss Up2-Jun-26David ValadaoH2CA20094$3,062,912Yes
CaliforniaCA-45Derek TranDemocraticD+3Lean D2-Jun-26Derek TranH4CA45170$3,032,585
CaliforniaCA-48OPEN (Darrell Issa)RepublicanD+2Lean D2-Jun-26
ColoradoCO-08Gabe EvansRepublicanEVENToss Up2-Jun-26Gabe EvansH4CO08034$3,054,210Yes
FloridaFL-23Jared MoskowitzDemocraticD+2Lean D18-Aug-26Jared MoskowitzH2FL22171$1,286,355
IowaIA-01Mariannette Miller-MeeksRepublicanR+4Toss Up2-Jun-26Mariannette Miller-MeeksH8IA02043$4,255,011
IowaIA-03Zach NunnRepublicanR+2Toss Up2-Jun-26Sarah Trone GarriottH6IA03268$1,388,457Zach NunnH2IA03119$2,614,980
MichiganMI-07Tom BarrettRepublicanEVENToss Up4-Aug-26Tom BarrettH2MI07123$3,783,617
MichiganMI-08Kristen McDonald RivetDemocraticR+1Lean D4-Aug-26Kristen McDonald RivetH4MI08218$3,305,120
MichiganMI-10OPEN (John James)RepublicanR+3Lean R4-Aug-26
North CarolinaNC-01Don DavisDemocraticR+5Lean R3-Mar-26Don DavisH2NC02287$2,204,686Laurie BuckhoutH4NC01137$2,273,362
NebraskaNE-02OPEN (Don Bacon)RepublicanD+3Lean D12-May-26
New JerseyNJ-07Thomas KeanRepublicanEVENToss Up2-Jun-26Thomas KeanH0NJ07261$3,246,540
New MexicoNM-02Gabe VasquezDemocraticEVENLean D2-Jun-26Gabe VasquezH2NM02191$1,997,815
NevadaNV-03Susie LeeDemocraticD+1Lean D9-Jun-26Susie LeeH6NV04020$2,463,467
New YorkNY-03Tom SuozziDemocraticEVENLean D23-Jun-26Tom SuozziH6NY03247$3,246,484
New YorkNY-04Laura GillenDemocraticD+2Lean D23-Jun-26Laura GillenH2NY04244$2,858,865
New YorkNY-17Mike LawlerRepublicanD+1Toss Up23-Jun-26Mike LawlerH2NY17162$5,209,723
New YorkNY-19Josh RileyDemocraticD+1Lean D23-Jun-26Josh RileyH8NY22177$3,129,176
OhioOH-01Greg LandsmanDemocraticR+1Lean D5-May-26Greg LandsmanH2OH01194$1,828,892
OhioOH-09Marcy KapturDemocraticR+5Toss Up5-May-26Marcy KapturH2OH09031$1,715,103
PennsylvaniaPA-07Ryan MacKenzieRepublicanR+1Toss Up19-May-26Ryan MacKenzieH8PA15195$2,577,819
PennsylvaniaPA-08Rob BresnahanRepublicanR+4Toss Up19-May-26Rob BresnahanH4PA08124$2,998,394
PennsylvaniaPA-10Scott PerryRepublicanR+3Toss Up19-May-26Scott PerryH2PA04135$2,880,657
TexasTX-28Henry CuellarDemocraticR+3Lean D3-Mar-26Henry CuellarH2TX23082$1,189,858Tano TijerinaH6TX28124$427,768
TexasTX-34Vicente GonzalezDemocraticR+3Toss Up3-Mar-26Vicente GonzalezH6TX15162$1,916,886Eric FloresH6TX34080$1,415,921
VirginiaVA-01Rob WittmanRepublicanR+3Lean R16-Jun-26Rob WittmanH8VA01147$2,480,082
VirginiaVA-02Jen KiggansRepublicanEVENToss Up16-Jun-26Jen KiggansH2VA02064$3,578,435
VirginiaVA-07Eugene VindmanDemocraticD+2Lean D16-Jun-26Eugene VindmanH4VA07234$7,044,268
WashingtonWA-03Marie Gluesenkamp PerezDemocraticR+2Toss Up4-Aug-26Marie Gluesenkamp PerezH2WA03217$3,240,473
WisconsinWI-03Derrick Van OrdenRepublicanR+3Toss Up11-Aug-26Derrick Van OrdenH0WI03175$4,348,058
  • Peltola’s election in 2022 stunned the political world; she beat former Gov. Sarah Palin in a traditionally Republican state. But in 2024, she lost the seat.
  • Peltola leads the Republican incumbent in six out of eight polls cited by the New York Times.
  • Cook Political Report rated the Alaska Senate race Solid Republican until Peltola entered the race, and the rating shifted to Lean Republican.
  • Before being elected to the Senate, Republican incumbent Daniel S. Sullivan served in the Bush administration, and former Gov. Sarah Palin appointed him state attorney general.
  • Republican Senate candidate Dustin Darden, who is also running for election to the Anchorage School District School Board, ran unsuccessfully as a Democrat for the Alaska House of Representatives in 2024.
  • Striking a balance between energy production, the local economy, and the protection of open land is of prime concern in Alaska. Other issues include a housing crisis, rising prices, healthcare access, and the impact of federal policy on local economies.
  • A ballot question to eliminate ranked-choice voting failed by less than 1 percent in 2024, but the question is again on the ballot.

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