Key Races ▸ By State ▸ New York

New York

House · NY-03 · Tom SuozziHOLD House · NY-04 · Laura GillenHOLD House · NY-17 · Cait ConleyFLIP House · NY-19 · Josh RileyHOLD

Primary: Jun 26, 2026

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New York plays a key role in the Democrats’ quest to regain control of the House and overcome the Trump administration's efforts to dismantle the government and to corrupt our democracy. Of the 26 NY congressional districts, Democrats hold a 19 to 7 edge. However, four key districts are rated as battlegrounds. Three are held by Democrats (NY-03, 04 and 19) while one (CD-17) is held by a Republican that is ripe for a flip. In 2024, Democrats regained three of the House seats they lost in 2022. Continuing that momentum is essential to controlling the House of Representatives.

In NY-17, incumbent Republican Mike Lawler appears to be vulnerable to a flip; the district voted for Kamala Harris in 2024. Lawler’s chaotic town hall meeting this year culminated in the forcible removal of a 64-year-old social worker who had the audacity to ask a question, giving Lawler a deeply troubling image. Democratic contender Cait Conley, a 16-year U.S. Army officer who served on the White House National Security Council and at the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, is behind Lawler in fundraising. However, her campaign is gaining momentum as she has hit hard against Lawler's legislative record, particularly his votes on healthcare and Medicaid policies.

Three NY Democratically held seats have been targeted by the GOP. In NY-03, incumbent Tom Suozzi, who captured the seat once held by disgraced liar and Republican George Santos, is in a rematch from 2024 with opponent Michael LiPerti in one of the 23 Democratic-held districts that Trump won in 2024. LiPerti is Trump-endorsed. Democrat Laura Gillen, NY-04 is in her first term. Prior to being elected to the House Gillen was the first Democrat elected Hempstead town supervisor in 112 years. Josh Riley (NY-19) was elected in 2024. Early in his career, Riley turned down Wall Street offers to represent the American Academy for Pediatrics in a landmark civil rights lawsuit to help children from low-income families get access to healthcare.

  • In NY-17, Democrat Conley's campaign website said, “The same politicians who created this mess won’t be the ones who fix it. She has the courage to do what’s right, the strength to fight and win against Donald Trump and his enablers like Mike Lawler.”
  • Suozzi (NY-03) is running on his experience as a legislator and his bipartisan approach to building consensus, as demonstrated by serving as the co-chair of the House Problem Solver caucus.
  • When Gillen (NY-04) served as Hempstead town supervisor she enacted cost saving measures that enabled the town to lower residents’ taxes after years of tax hikes.
  • As a practicing attorney, Gillen worked as a litigator and did significant pro bono work for victims of domestic violence.
  • Gillen’s Republican opponent is Jeanine Driscoll, who has raised little in campaign funds and is a little-known local tax receiver who only entered the race after Anthony D'Esposito dropped out.
  • As general counsel to U.S. Senator Al Franken on the Senate Judiciary Committee, Riley (NY-19) helped pass bipartisan legislation to protect survivors of domestic violence and combat the opioid epidemic.
  • Riley’s Republican challenger is Peter Oberacker, food scientist and founder of FormTech Solutions, who served in the New York State Senate and is campaigning on a no-new-tax platform.
State Map

Key Races in New York

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Senate

StateIncumbentPartisan LeanCook RatingVotehub RatingPrimary DateDemocratic Candidate$ Raised (Dem)Republican Candidate$ Raised (Rep)
IowaIowaOPEN - (Joni Ernst (R))R+6Lean R ↑66.3% (R)Lean R2-Jun-26Josh TurekS6IA00298$6,276,527Ashley HinsonS6IA00314$10,217,845
MichiganMichiganOPEN -- (Gary Peters (D))R+0Tossup63.0% (D)Tossup4-Aug-26Abdul El-SayedS6MI00418$14,528,336Mike RogersS4MI00595$10,898,177
New HampshireNew HampshireOPEN -- (Jeanne Shaheen (D))D+2Lean D88.9% (D)Lean D8-Sep-26
North CarolinaNorth CarolinaOPEN -- (Thom Tillis (R))R+1Lean D89.3% (D)Tossup3-Mar-26Roy CooperS6NC00407$34,975,789Michael WhatleyS6NC00415$11,272,504
AlaskaAlaskaDan Sullivan (R)R+6Toss Up51.6% (D)Lean R18-Aug-26Mary PeltolaS6AK00276$15,575,539Dan SullivanS4AK00214$11,100,596
GeorgiaGeorgiaJon Ossoff (D)R+1Lean D92.2% (D)Lean D19-May-26Jon OssoffS8GA00180$97,986,263Mike CollinsS6GA00390$7,409,350
MaineMaineSusan Collins (R)D+4Tossup63.2% (D)Tossup9-Jun-26Troy JacksonS6ME00464$0Susan CollinsS6ME00159$18,930,078
OhioOhioJon Husted (R)R+5Toss Up51.1% (D)Lean R5-May-26Sherrod BrownS6OH00163$38,566,234Jon HustedS6OH00304$14,360,028
TexasTexasJohn Cornyn (R)R+6Lean R51.7% (R)Lean R3-Mar-26James TalaricoS6TX00479$68,555,930Ken PaxtonS6TX00388$9,248,699

House

StateDistrictIncumbentPartisan LeanCook RatingVotehub RatingPrimary DateDem Candidate$ Raised (Dem)Rep Candidate$ Raised (Rep)
ArizonaAZ-01OPEN (David Schweikert (R))RepublicanR+1Toss Up75.5% (D)21-Jul-26Amish ShahH4AZ01194$1,830,193Thomas FeelyH6AZ05190$2,528,497Yes
ArizonaAZ-06Juan Ciscomani (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up77.9% (D)21-Jul-26JoAnna MendozaH6AZ06099$7,354,599Juan CiscomaniH2AZ02360$6,172,867Yes
CaliforniaCA-13Adam Gray (D)DemocraticD+2Lean D97.1% (D)26-Jun-26Adam GrayH2CA13115$4,191,397Kevin LincolnH4CA09093$2,237,084
CaliforniaCA-22David Valadao (R)RepublicanD+1Toss Up79.9% (D)2-Jun-26Randy VillegasH6CA22190$2,645,560David ValadaoH2CA20094$4,927,602Yes
CaliforniaCA-48OPEN (Darrell Issa (R))RepublicanD+2Lean D89.6% (D)26-Jun-26Marni von WilpertH6CA48310$2,174,872Jim DesmondH6CA49128$2,258,836
ColoradoCO-08Gabe Evans (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up80.0% (D)30-Jun-26Manny RutinelH6CO08013$4,336,988Gabe EvansH4CO08034$5,393,673Yes
FloridaFL-14Kathy Castor (D)DemocraticR+4Lean R60.2% (D)18-Aug-26Kathy CastorH6FL11126$1,954,817
FloridaFL-22Lois Frankel (D)DemocraticR+4Lean R68.1% (R)18-Aug-26
FloridaFL-25Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D)DemocraticR+3Toss Up71.0% (D)18-Aug-26Jared MoskowitzH4FL20023$3,146,283
IowaIA-01Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)RepublicanR+4Toss Up72.2% (D)2-Jun-26Christina BohannanH2IA02111$7,051,745Mariannette Miller-MeeksH8IA02043$7,208,271
IowaIA-02OPEN (Ashley Hinson (R))RepublicanR+4Lean R ↑56.0% (R)2-Jun-26Lindsay JamesH6IA02211$1,628,201Joe MitchellH6IA02237$1,938,593
IowaIA-03Zach Nunn (R)RepublicanR+2Toss Up69.7% (D)26-Jun-26Sarah Trone GarriottH6IA03268$5,293,773Zach NunnH2IA03119$4,869,249
MichiganMI-04Bill Huizenga (R)RepublicanR+3Lean R ↑67.9% (R)4-Aug-26Sean McCannH6MI04204$2,620,011Bill HuizengaH0MI02094$4,093,991
MichiganMI-07Tom Barrett (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up56.6% (D)4-Aug-26William LawrenceH6MI07298$1,119,198Tom BarrettH2MI07123$6,306,828
MichiganMI-08Kristen McDonald Rivet (D)DemocraticR+1Lean D95.5% (D)4-Aug-26Kristen McDonald RivetH4MI08218$5,644,876Thomas SmithH6MI08312$0
MichiganMI-10OPEN (John James - (R))RepublicanR+3Lean R61.8% (D)4-Aug-26Christina HinesH6MI10276$1,211,489Michael BouchardH6MI10359$1,414,724
North CarolinaNC-01Don Davis (D)DemocraticR+5Lean R53.3% (D)3-Mar-26Don DavisH2NC02287$4,287,386Laurie BuckhoutH4NC01137$3,793,077
North CarolinaNC-11Chuck Edwards (R)RepublicanR+5Lean R ↑61.8% (D)26-Mar-26Jamie AgerH6NC11248$3,052,354Chuck EdwardsH2NC14050$939,985
NebraskaNE-02OPEN (Don Bacon (R))RepublicanD+3Lean D92.3% (D)12-May-26Denise PowellH6NE02174$2,668,287Brinker HardingH6NE02208$2,034,386
New JerseyNJ-07Thomas Kean (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up76.5% (D)2-Jun-26Rebecca BennettH6NJ07201$4,272,034Thomas KeanH0NJ07261$4,892,807
New MexicoNM-02Gabe Vasquez (D)DemocraticEVENLean D94.1% (D)2-Jun-26Gabe VasquezH2NM02191$3,784,102Greg CunninghamH6NM02127$1,510,080
NevadaNV-03Susie Lee (D)DemocraticD+1Lean D89.6% (D)9-Jun-26Susie LeeH6NV04020$4,401,421Marty O'Donnell H6NV03204$4,055,410
New YorkNY-03Tom Suozzi (D)DemocraticEVENLean D92.7% (D)26-Jun-26Tom SuozziH6NY03247$5,456,698Michael LiPetriH0NY02267$1,666,542
New YorkNY-04Laura Gillen (D)DemocraticD+2Lean D95.7% (D)23-Jun-26Laura GillenH2NY04244$5,097,222
Jeanine Driscoll
H6NY04211$264,824
New YorkNY-17Mike Lawler (R)RepublicanD+1Toss Up69.3% (D)23-Jun-26H6NY17171$4,317,457Mike LawlerH2NY17162$8,172,046
New YorkNY-19Josh Riley (D)DemocraticD+1Likely D ↑92.0% (D)23-Jun-26Josh RileyH8NY22177$4,825,666
Peter Oberacker
H6NY19268$1,237,179
OhioOH-01Greg Landsman (D)DemocraticR+1Lean D89.5% (D)26-May-26Greg LandsmanH2OH01194$4,633,250Eric ConroyH6OH01138$1,513,614
OhioOH-09Marcy Kaptur (D)DemocraticR+5Toss Up70.2% (D)5-May-26Marcy KapturH2OH09031$4,303,416Derek MerrinH4OH09169$1,508,953
PennsylvaniaPA-07Ryan MacKenzie (R)RepublicanR+1Toss Up69.9% (D)19-May-26Bob BrooksH6PA07188$2,392,215Ryan MacKenzieH8PA15195$4,357,405
PennsylvaniaPA-08Rob Bresnahan (R)RepublicanR+4Toss Up61.5% (D)19-May-26Paige CognettiH6PA08293$4,609,589Rob BresnahanH4PA08124$5,234,586
PennsylvaniaPA-10Scott Perry (R)RepublicanR+3Toss Up73.3% (D)19-May-26Janelle StelsonH4PA10104$6,364,069Scott PerryH2PA04135$5,194,925
TexasTX-28Henry Cuellar (D)DemocraticR+3Lean D89.5% (D)3-Mar-26Henry CuellarH2TX23082$2,231,952Tano TijerinaH6TX28124$1,399,881
TexasTX-34Vicente Gonzalez (D)DemocraticR+3Toss Up80.5% (D)3-Mar-26Vicente GonzalezH6TX15162$3,773,915Eric FloresH6TX34080$2,874,990
VirginiaVA-01Robert Wittman (R)RepublicanR+3Lean R60.0% (R)4-Aug-26Shannon TaylorH6VA01299$2,140,930Robert WittmanH8VA01147$4,053,142
VirginiaVA-02Jen Kiggans (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up70.5% (D)4-Aug-26Elaine LuriaH6VA02198$4,659,795Jen KiggansH2VA02064$5,954,338
WashingtonWA-03Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D)DemocraticR+2Toss Up83.6% (D)4-Aug-26Marie Gluesenkamp PerezH2WA03217$6,292,683John BraunH6WA03275$2,035,255
WisconsinWI-03Derrick Van Orden (R)RepublicanR+3Toss Up60.5% (D)11-Aug-26Rebecca CookeH4WI03169$8,601,146Derrick Van OrdenH0WI03175$7,526,052

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