Take Action Michigan
Senate (Open - Slotkin), MI-07 (Open - Hertel), MI-08 (Open - McDonald Rivet), MI-10 (Flip - Marlinga)
Incumbent Democratic Senator Debbie Stabenow, in office since 2000, is not seeking a fifth term. Current MI-07 Representative Elissa Slotkin won the Aug. 6 primary by 80.5%. Slotkin served three tours in Iraq in the CIA, and later at the White House, State Department, and finally at the Pentagon. Former state senator Curtis Hertel is running in a tossup race for the open seat in MI-07 but has outraised his opponent. Kristen McDonald Rivet is running in MI-08, which is open due to the incumbent’s retirement. Democrats hope to flip M-10. Former prosecutor and Federal Appeals Court judge Carl Marlinga is running against a one-term representative who had won by only 1,600 votes in 2022. [Read More Below]
SENATE
| State | Incumbent | Partisan Lean | Cook Rating | Sabato Rating | Primary Date | Democratic Candidate | Republican Candidate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | OPEN -- (Sinema (I)) | R+2 | Lean D | Lean D | Jul-30 | Ruben Gallego | Kari Lake |
| Nevada | Jacky Rosen (D) | EVEN | Lean D | Lean D | Jun-11 | Jacky Rosen | Sam Brown |
| Pennsylvania | Bob Casey (D) | R+2 | Tossup | Lean D | Apr-23 | Bob Casey | Dave McCormick |
| Wisconsin | Tammy Baldwin (D) | R+2 | Tossup | Lean D | Aug-13 | Tammy Baldwin | Eric Hovde |
| Michigan | OPEN -- (Stabinow (D)) | EVEN | Tossup | Lean D | Aug-06 | Elissa Slotkin | Mike Rogers |
| Ohio | Sherrod Brown (D) | R+6 | Tossup | Tossup | Mar-19 | Sherrod Brown | Bernie Moreno |
| Montana | Jon Tester (D) | R+11 | Lean R | Lean R | Jun-04 | Jon Tester | Tim Sheehy |
| Nebraska | Deb Fischer (R) | R+13 | Lean R | Lean R | May-14 | Dan Osborn (Ind) | Deb Fischer |
| Texas | Ted Cruz (R) | R+5 | Lean R | Likely R | Mar-05 | Colin Allred | Ted Cruz |
HOUSE
Coming off historic losses in 2022, the Michigan Republican State Party is in dire financial straits, and the infighting has been fierce. A report issued by a GOP activist says most party bank accounts are empty. This chaos and lack of capital likely will provide a boon for the state’s Democrats.
The House races:
- MI-07: Both parties are eyeing the open seat in MI-07, a district of growing diversity. The outcome of the election likely will hinge on voter turnout. It is rated a Tossup.
- M-08: Redistricting made MI-08 more red, but incumbent Kildee won by 10 points in 2022, good news for whoever wins the Democratic primary in August. The district is rated Toss-up.
- MI-10: A suburban district north of Detroit, MI-10 is eminently flippable. It is rated Lean R, but the current Republican incumbent, who had a great financial advantage, won by only 1,600 votes in 2022.
