Take Action Ohio

Name: Ohio Training: Prepare to Drive Voters on a Ride2Vote!
Start: 2024-05-29T18:00:00-04:00
End: 2024-05-29T19:00:00-04:00
Location: virtual

Senate (Brown), OH-01 (Landsman), OH-03 (Sykes)

Ohio elections traditionally have matched the trends of the rest of the country. In recent years, the state has shifted red, but voters passing the statewide abortion access question could indicate a swing back toward blue. In 2024, robust voter turnout in major cities like Akron, Cincinnati, Cleveland, Columbus, and Toledo as well as a strong Ohio economy should benefit Democrats.

Sherrod Brown has served in the U.S. Senate since 2007 and has earned a reputation as a champion of the working class. The U.S. Congressional races to watch in Ohio are the two Democratic freshmen representatives: OH-01, Greg Landsman; and OH-03, Emilia Sykes.

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SENATE RACE

State	Incumbent	PVI	Cook Rating	Primary Date	Democratic Candidate	Republican Candidate
Arizona	OPEN -- (Sinema (I))	R+2	Tossup	Jul-30	Ruben Gallego*
Nevada	Jacky Rosen (D)	EVEN	Lean D	Jun-11	Jacky Rosen
Pennsylvania	Bob Casey (D)	R+2	Lean D	Apr-23	Bob Casey	Dave McCormick
Wisconsin	Tammy Baldwin (D)	R+2	Lean D	Aug-06	Tammy Baldwin
Michigan	OPEN -- (Stabinow (D))	EVEN	Lean D	Aug-06	Elissa Slotkin*
Ohio	Sherrod Brown (D)	R+6	Tossup	Mar-19	Sherrod Brown	Bernie Moreno
Montana	Jon Tester (D)	R+11	Lean D	Jun-04	Jon Tester

COMPETITIVE HOUSE RACES

State	District	Incumbent	Party	Partisan Lean	Cook Rating	Primary Date	Dem Candidate	$ Raised (Dem)	Rep Candidate	$ Raised (Rep)
Alaska	AK-00	Mary Peltola	D	R+8	Lean D	20-Aug	Mary Peltola	$1,774,747
Arizona	AZ-01	David Schweikert	R	R+2	Toss Up	30-Jul			David Schweikert	$901,940
Arizona	AZ-06	Juan Ciscomani	R	R+3	Toss Up	30-Jul			Juan Ciscomani	$2,130,200
California	CA-13	John Duarte	R	D+4	Toss Up	5-Mar	Adam Gray	$468,385	John Duarte	$1,487,119
California	CA-22	David Valadao	R	D+5	Toss Up	5-Mar	Rudy Salas	$122,207	David Valadao	$1,323,307
California	CA-27	Mike Garcia	R	D+4	Toss Up	5-Mar	George Whitesides	$2,508,524	Mike Garcia	$1,560,751
California	CA-41	Ken Calvert	R	R+3	Toss Up	5-Mar	Will Rollins	$2,424,885	Ken Calvert	$2,334,274
California	CA-45	Michelle Steel	R	D+2	Lean R	5-Mar	Derek Tran	$66,630	Michelle Steel	$2,932,122
California	CA-47	Open (Porter)	D	D+3	Lean D	5-Mar	David Min	$224,079	Scott Baugh	$1,707,928
Colorado	CO-03	Open (Boebert)	R	R+7	Lean R	25-Jun
Colorado	CO-08	Yadira Caraveo	D	EVEN	Toss Up	25-Jun	Yadira Caraveo	$1,359,808
Connecticut	CT-05	Jahana Hayes	D	D+3	Lean D	13-Aug	Jahana Hayes	$1,030,642
Iowa	IA-03	Zach Nunn	R	R+3	Lean R	4-Jun			Zach Nunn	$1,594,585
Illinois	IL-17	Eric Sorensen	D	D+2	Lean D	19-Mar	Eric Sorensen	$1,631,531	Joe McGraw	$218,150
Indiana	IN-01	Frank Mrvan	D	D+3	Lean D	7-May	Frank Mrvan	$823,242
Maine	ME-02	Jared Golden	D	R+6	Toss Up	11-Jun	Jared Golden	$1,436,515
Michigan	MI-07	Open (Slotkin)	D	R+2	Toss Up	6-Aug
Michigan	MI-08	Open (Kildee)	D	R+1	Toss Up	6-Aug
Michigan	MI-10	John James	R	R+3	Lean R	6-Aug			John James	$2,346,810
North Carolina	NC-01	Don Davis	D	R+1	Toss Up	5-Mar	Don Davis	$961,681	Laurie Buckhout	$314,724
Nebraska	NE-02	Don Bacon	R	EVEN	Lean R	14-May			Don Bacon	$1,547,517
New Jersey	NJ-07	Thomas Kean	R	R+1	Toss Up	4-Jun			Thomas Kean	$2,110,338
New Mexico	NM-02	Gabe Vasquez	D	D+1	Toss Up	4-Jun	Gabe Vasquez	$1,247,093
Nevada	NV-03	Susie Lee	D	D+1	Lean D	11-Jun	Susie Lee	$1,584,749
New York	NY-04	Anthony DEsposito	R	D+5	Toss Up	25-Jun			Anthony DEsposito	$1,247,942
New York	NY-17	Mike Lawler	R	D+3	Toss Up	25-Jun			Mike Lawler	$2,500,120
New York	NY-18	Pat Ryan	D	D+2	Lean D	25-Jun	Pat Ryan	$2,211,915
New York	NY-19	Marc Molinaro	R	R+1	Toss Up	25-Jun			Marc Molinaro	$1,618,917
New York	NY-22	Brandon Williams	R	D+3	Lean D	25-Jun			Brandon Williams	$913,071
Ohio	OH-09	Marcy Kaptur	D	R+3	Toss Up	19-Mar	Marcy Kaptur	$1,324,671
Ohio	OH-13	Emilia Sykes	D	R+1	Toss Up	19-Mar	Emilia Sykes	$1,112,476	Kevin Coughlin	$248,119
Oregon	OR-05	Lori Chavez-DeRemer	R	D+2	Toss Up	21-May			Lori Chavez-DeRemer	$1,608,022
Oregon	OR-06	Andrea Salinas	D	D+4	Lean D	21-May	Andrea Salinas	$1,097,894
Pennsylvania	PA-07	Susan Wild	D	R+2	Toss Up	23-Apr	Susan Wild	$1,578,262	Ryan Mackenzie	$137,616
Pennsylvania	PA-08	Matt Cartwright	D	R+4	Toss Up	23-Apr	Matt Cartwright	$2,012,463	Robert Bresnahan	$636,332
Pennsylvania	PA-10	Scott Perry	R	R+5	Lean R	23-Apr	Janelle Stelson	$140,288	Scott Perry	$547,159
Pennsylvania	PA-17	Chris Deluzio	D	EVEN	Lean D	23-Apr	Chris Deluzio	$986,156	Rob Mercuri	$281,539
Texas	TX-34	Vicente Gonzalez	D	D+9	Lean D	28-May	Vicente Gonzalez	$1,208,034
Virginia	VA-02	Jen Kiggans	R	R+2	Lean R	18-Jun			Jen Kiggans	$1,504,729
Virginia	VA-07	Open (Spanberger)	D	D+1	Lean D	18-Jun
Washington	WA-03	Marie Gluesenkamp Perez	D	R+5	Toss Up	6-Aug	Marie Gluesenkamp Perez	$2,181,055
Wisconsin	WI-03	Derrick Van Orden	R	R+4	Lean R	13-Aug			Derrick Van Orden	$1,617,321

The battle for Ohio’s U.S. Senate seat is expected to be one of the closest in the country. In his first race for the Senate. Sherrod Brown defeated an incumbent Republican by double digits in 2006. He has survived a decade of statewide Democratic losses in Ohio by building a reputation as the rare person in his party who can still connect with white working-class voters who have increasingly shifted to Republican.
He also stood up to drug companies, railroads, and Wall Street.

Two Ohio races for the U.S. House are crucial for Democrats. The outcome could influence the balance of power in Congress, and their ability to maintain their seats in traditionally Republican areas could signal larger political shifts in the state and beyond.

Greg Landsman, OH-01: A former teacher and non-profit leader, Landsman unseated a longtime Republican incumbent in the 2022 midterms. Dark money (read Republicans) went after Landsman, as well as Sykes and Marcy Kaptur less than two months into their terms, indicating the GOP sees these representatives as vulnerable.
Emilia Sykes, OH-03: Born in Akron, Sykes holds a bachelor’s degree in psychology, a master’s degree in public health, and a juris doctor degree. She served as minority leader in In the Ohio State House prior to serving in Congress.

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