Take Action Pennsylvania

Senate (Casey), PA-07 (Wild), PA-08 (Cartwright), PA-17 (Deluzio)

Coming off strong wins in local races in 2023, Pennsylvania continues to be a battleground state, a linchpin in the unfolding drama of American democracy. Its 19 electoral votes will again be critical to reelect President Biden. To expand control of the Senate and win the House we must re-elect Senator Bob Casey, and U.S. Reps. Susan Wild, Matt Cartwright, and Chris Deluzio., Legislative races will also determine if we can keep the PA House and win back the PA Senate. (Read more below)


StateIncumbentPVICook Rating
ArizonaKirsten Sinema (I)R+2Tossup
NevadaJacky Rosen (D)EVENLean D
PennsylvaniaBob Casey (D)R+2Lean D
WisconsinTammy Baldwin (D)R+2Lean D
MichiganOpen (D) (Stabinow)EVENLean D
OhioSherrod Brown (D)R+6Tossup
MontanaJohn Tester (D)R+11Lean D
TexasTed Cruz (R)R+5Likely R

StateDistrictIncumbentParty in PowerPVICook RatingPrimary Date
AlaskaAK-00Mary PeltolaDR+8Lean D20-Aug
ArizonaAZ-01David SchweikertRR+2Tossup2-Aug
ArizonaAZ-06Juan CiscomaniRR+3Tossup2-Aug
CaliforniaCA-13John DuarteRD+4Tossup7-Jun
CaliforniaCA-22David ValadaoRD+5Tossup7-Jun
CaliforniaCA-27Mike GarciaRD+4Tossup7-Jun
CaliforniaCA-41Ken CalvertRR+3Tossup7-Jun
CaliforniaCA-45Michelle SteelRD+2Lean R7-Jun
CaliforniaCA-47Open (Porter)DD+3Lean D7-Jun
ColoradoCO-03Lauren BoebertRR+7Tossup28-Jun
ColoradoCO-08Yadira CaraveoDEVENTossup28-Jun
ConnecticutCT-05Jahana HayesDD+3Lean D13-Aug
FloridaFL-05John RutherfordRR+11*Tossup20-Aug
IllinoisIL-17Eric SorensenDD+2Lean D19-Mar
IndianaIN-01Frank J. MrvanDD+3Lean D7-May
IowaIA-03Zach NunnRR+3Lean R4-Jun
LouisianaLA-05Julia LetlowRR+17Tossup5-Nov
MaineME-02Jared GoldenDR+6Tossup18-Jun
MichiganMI-07Open (Slotkin)DR+2Tossup6-Aug
MichiganMI-10John JamesRR+3Lean R6-Aug
NebraskaNE-02Don BaconREVENLean R14-May
NevadaNV-03Susie LeeDD+1Lean D14-Jun
New JerseyNJ-07Thomas Kean Jr.RR+1Tossup4-Jun
New MexicoNM-02Gabe VasquezDD+1Tossup7-Jun
New YorkNY-03George SantosRD+2Lean D23-Aug
New YorkNY-04Anthony D'EspositoRD+5Tossup23-Aug
New YorkNY-17Mike LawlerRD+3Tossup23-Aug
New YorkNY-18Pat RyanDD+1Lean D23-Aug
New YorkNY-19Marc MolinaroREVENTossup23-Aug
New YorkNY-22Brandon WilliamsRD+1Tossup23-Aug
North CarolinaNC-01Don DavisDD+2Lean D17-May
North CarolinaNC-06Kathy ManningDD+4Tossup17-May
North CarolinaNC-13Wiley NickelDR+2Tossup17-May
North CarolinaNC-14Jeff JacksonDD+6Tossup17-May
OhioOH-01Greg LandsmanDD+2Lean D3-May
OhioOH-13Emilia SykesDR+1Tossup3-May
OregonOR-05Lori Chavez-DeRemerRD+2Tossup17-May
PennsylvaniaPA-07Susan WildDR+2Tossup17-May
PennsylvaniaPA-08Matt CartwrightDR+4Tossup17-May
VirginiaVA-07Open (Abigail Spanberger)DD+1Lean DTBD
VirginiaVA-02Jen KiggansRR+2Lean RTBD
WashingtonWA-03Marie Gluesenkamp PerezDR+5TossupTBD
WisconsinWI-03Derrick Van OrdenRR+4Lean RTBD
MichiganMI-08Dan KildeeDR+1Lean D06-Aug

About the candidates:

  • Casey has served three terms in the Senate and is a member of its Finance Committee, the HELP Committee, the Select Committee on Intelligence and is chairman of the Special Committee on Aging.
  • Wild (PA-07) is seeking her fourth term. A lawyer and former Air Force brat, Wild is focused on lowering prescription drug prices, expanding Medicare, supporting labor and education, and addressing the climate crisis.
  • Cartwright (PA-08), first elected to Congress in 2012, is a former trial attorney who now fights for the hardworking people of his district, working to lower prices, expand access to health care, and foster economic growth.
  • Deluzio is serving his first term in Congress. An Iraq War veteran, voting rights attorney, and union organizer, he received a B.S. degree with merit from the U.S. Naval Academy in Annapolis.

In Pennsylvania’s fall 2023 elections,  Democrats captured an important state supreme court seat, defeated many Moms4Liberty school board candidates, and won impressively in many county and local elections. Bute the 2024 election will be more challenging.

The urban-rural divide remains a defining feature, with cities like Philadelphia and Pittsburgh leaning left, while rural areas tilt right. Navigating this ideological chasm will be a key challenge for candidates vying for congressional seats.

While voters favor Democratic positions on abortion and schools, President Biden is far less popular. If the past is any guide, the 2024 Presidential electorate will be less policy driven than the “off year” voters in 2023. Issues such as inflation immigration, and the Israel-Hamas war will depress Democratic votes, as will the presence of third-party candidates.

Previous wins in Georgia and Wisconsin show the way to victory: Year-round organizing from the ground up and showing voters we care about their lives through action. Starting now, you can help local groups reach voters and volunteers. You will also meet smart, brave, and committed local leaders, many of them in MAGA-heavy rural areas, fighting the good fight to save our Democracy.
Join us in:
• Phone banking, texting, and writing volunteers and voters to engage and energize them
• Providing remote “back office” assistance to county parties and in-state groups who are working now to build local support
• Improving Democratic messaging by finding and distributing news about the tangible benefits that Democratic policies are delivering to voters



Bob Scheier
Ann Eldridge

Local Organization(s):
MA Flip PA