Take Action Michigan

Senate (Open - Stabinow), MI-07 (Open), MI-08 (Open), MI-10 (Flip)

Michigan has one U.S. Senate and three House races of note. The Senate race is worth our attention as incumbent Democratic Debbie Stabenow, in office since 2000, is not seeking a fifth term. Several candidates have emerged, including Elissa Slotkin, who currently serves in Michigan’s 7th Congressional District.

Races in the U.S. House include MI-07, open because of Slotkin’s decision to run for Senate; MI-08 which is open due to incumbent Democrat Dan Kildee’s retirement; and MI-10, where Democrats hope to flip the seat now held by a Republican.
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MICHIGAN COMPETITIVE RACES
SENATE

StateIncumbentPVICook RatingPrimary DateDemocratic CandidateRepublican Candidate
ArizonaOPEN -- (Sinema (I))R+2TossupJul-30Ruben Gallego*
NevadaJacky Rosen (D)EVENLean DJun-11Jacky Rosen
PennsylvaniaBob Casey (D)R+2Lean DApr-23Bob CaseyDave McCormick
WisconsinTammy Baldwin (D)R+2Lean DAug-06Tammy Baldwin
MichiganOPEN -- (Stabinow (D))EVENLean DAug-06Elissa Slotkin*
OhioSherrod Brown (D)R+6TossupMar-19Sherrod BrownBernie Moreno
MontanaJon Tester (D)R+11Lean DJun-04Jon Tester
HOUSE

StateDistrictIncumbentPartyPartisan LeanCook RatingPrimary DateDem Candidate$ Raised (Dem)Rep Candidate$ Raised (Rep)
AlaskaAK-00Mary PeltolaDR+8Lean D20-AugMary Peltola$1,774,747
ArizonaAZ-01David SchweikertRR+2Toss Up30-JulDavid Schweikert$901,940
ArizonaAZ-06Juan CiscomaniRR+3Toss Up30-JulJuan Ciscomani$2,130,200
CaliforniaCA-13John DuarteRD+4Toss Up5-MarAdam Gray$468,385John Duarte$1,487,119
CaliforniaCA-22David ValadaoRD+5Toss Up5-MarRudy Salas$122,207David Valadao$1,323,307
CaliforniaCA-27Mike GarciaRD+4Toss Up5-MarGeorge Whitesides$2,508,524Mike Garcia$1,560,751
CaliforniaCA-41Ken CalvertRR+3Toss Up5-MarWill Rollins$2,424,885Ken Calvert$2,334,274
CaliforniaCA-45Michelle SteelRD+2Lean R5-MarDerek Tran$66,630Michelle Steel$2,932,122
CaliforniaCA-47Open (Porter)DD+3Lean D5-MarDavid Min$224,079Scott Baugh$1,707,928
ColoradoCO-03Open (Boebert)RR+7Lean R25-Jun
ColoradoCO-08Yadira CaraveoDEVENToss Up25-JunYadira Caraveo$1,359,808
ConnecticutCT-05Jahana HayesDD+3Lean D13-AugJahana Hayes$1,030,642
IowaIA-03Zach NunnRR+3Lean R4-JunZach Nunn$1,594,585
IllinoisIL-17Eric SorensenDD+2Lean D19-MarEric Sorensen$1,631,531Joe McGraw$218,150
IndianaIN-01Frank MrvanDD+3Lean D7-MayFrank Mrvan$823,242
MaineME-02Jared GoldenDR+6Toss Up11-JunJared Golden$1,436,515
MichiganMI-07Open (Slotkin)DR+2Toss Up6-Aug
MichiganMI-08Open (Kildee)DR+1Toss Up6-Aug
MichiganMI-10John JamesRR+3Lean R6-AugJohn James$2,346,810
North CarolinaNC-01Don DavisDR+1Toss Up5-MarDon Davis$961,681Laurie Buckhout$314,724
NebraskaNE-02Don BaconREVENLean R14-MayDon Bacon$1,547,517
New JerseyNJ-07Thomas KeanRR+1Toss Up4-JunThomas Kean$2,110,338
New MexicoNM-02Gabe VasquezDD+1Toss Up4-JunGabe Vasquez$1,247,093
NevadaNV-03Susie LeeDD+1Lean D11-JunSusie Lee$1,584,749
New YorkNY-04Anthony DEspositoRD+5Toss Up25-JunAnthony DEsposito$1,247,942
New YorkNY-17Mike LawlerRD+3Toss Up25-JunMike Lawler$2,500,120
New YorkNY-18Pat RyanDD+2Lean D25-JunPat Ryan$2,211,915
New YorkNY-19Marc MolinaroRR+1Toss Up25-JunMarc Molinaro$1,618,917
New YorkNY-22Brandon WilliamsRD+3Lean D25-JunBrandon Williams$913,071
OhioOH-09Marcy KapturDR+3Toss Up19-MarMarcy Kaptur$1,324,671
OhioOH-13Emilia SykesDR+1Toss Up19-MarEmilia Sykes$1,112,476Kevin Coughlin$248,119
OregonOR-05Lori Chavez-DeRemerRD+2Toss Up21-MayLori Chavez-DeRemer$1,608,022
OregonOR-06Andrea SalinasDD+4Lean D21-MayAndrea Salinas$1,097,894
PennsylvaniaPA-07Susan WildDR+2Toss Up23-AprSusan Wild$1,578,262Ryan Mackenzie$137,616
PennsylvaniaPA-08Matt CartwrightDR+4Toss Up23-AprMatt Cartwright$2,012,463Robert Bresnahan$636,332
PennsylvaniaPA-10Scott PerryRR+5Lean R23-AprJanelle Stelson$140,288Scott Perry$547,159
PennsylvaniaPA-17Chris DeluzioDEVENLean D23-AprChris Deluzio$986,156Rob Mercuri$281,539
TexasTX-34Vicente GonzalezDD+9Lean D28-MayVicente Gonzalez$1,208,034
VirginiaVA-02Jen KiggansRR+2Lean R18-JunJen Kiggans$1,504,729
VirginiaVA-07Open (Spanberger)DD+1Lean D18-Jun
WashingtonWA-03Marie Gluesenkamp PerezDR+5Toss Up6-AugMarie Gluesenkamp Perez$2,181,055
WisconsinWI-03Derrick Van OrdenRR+4Lean R13-AugDerrick Van Orden$1,617,321

Coming off historic losses in 2022, the Michigan Republican State Party is in dire financial straits, and the infighting has been fierce. A report issued by a GOP activist says most party bank accounts are empty. This chaos and lack of capital likely will provide a boon for the state’s Democrats.

The House races:

  • MI-07: Both parties are eyeing the open seat in MI-07, a district of growing diversity. The outcome of the election likely will hinge on voter turnout. It is rated a Tossup.
  • M-08: Redistricting made MI-08 more red, but incumbent Kildee won by 10 points in 2022, good news for whoever wins the Democratic primary in August. The district is rated Lean D.
  • MI-10: A suburban district north of Detroit, MI-10 is eminently flippable. It is rated Lean R, but the current Republican incumbent, who had a great financial advantage, won by only 1,600 votes in 2022.
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Meet Rep. Elissa Slotkin (MI): Help Hold the Senate in 2024!

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Join Force Multiplier and Rep. Elissa Slotkin,
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For the U.S. Senate from Michigan
Rep. Slotkin is running to defend the seat currently held by four term Senator Debbie Stabenow.

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