Take Action in Virginia

Name: Virginia GOTV Phone Banking with Rideshare2Vote
Start: 2024-10-17T18:00:00-04:00
End: 2024-10-17T20:00:00-04:00
Location: virtual

VA07 (Open) Spanberger (D), VA02 (Flip) Kiggans (R)

The Cook PVI (how partisan a congressional district or state is) for the state of Virginia is D+3. In 2023, Democrats managed to flip the VA legislature on the strength of abortion, which continues to be an issue for voters.

Two competitive House races have emerged in 2024. VA-07 (PVI of D+1 and rated Lean D), which is now open since the Democratic incumbent, Abigail Spanberger, is running for governor in 2025. Also VA-02 (PVI R+2, rated Lean R) is a potential flip. Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans unseated Elaine Luria in 2022. Former Navy surface warfare officer Missy Cotter Smasal is running as a Democrat. U.S. Sen. Tim Kaine is also running, but it's considered a Solid Democratic seat.

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State	District	Incumbent	Partisan Lean	Party in Power	Cook Rating	Primary Date	Dem Candidate	$ Raised (Dem)	Rep Candidate	$ Raised (Rep)	Fundraising Target
Alaska	AK-00	Mary Peltola	R+8	D	Lean D	Aug-20	Mary Peltola	$3,338,609	Multiple	$840,000
Arizona	AZ-01	David Schweikert	R+2	R	Toss Up	Jul-30	Amish Shah	$216,508	David Schweikert	$1,548,761	Yes
Arizona	AZ-06	Juan Ciscomani	R+3	R	Toss Up	Jul-30	Kirsten Engel	$3,197,698	Juan Ciscomani	$2,667,947
California	CA-47	OPEN (Porter)	D+3	D	Lean D	Mar-5	David Min	$1,525,657	Scott Baugh	$2,277,891	Yes
California	CA-13	John Duarte	D+4	R	Toss Up	Mar-5	Adam Gray	$1,816,564	John Duarte	$2,078,186	Yes
California	CA-22	David Valadao	D+5	R	Toss Up	Mar-5	Rudy Salas	$1,741,508	David Valadao	$2,000,244	Yes
California	CA-27	Mike Garcia	D+4	R	Toss Up	Mar-5	George Whitesides	$3,879,062	Mike Garcia	$2,226,582
California	CA-41	Ken Calvert	R+3	R	Toss Up	Mar-5	Will Rollins	$4,747,346	Ken Calvert	$3,618,194
California	CA-45	Michelle Steel	D+2	R	Lean R	Mar-5	Derek Tran	$1,156,780	Michelle Steel	$3,792,958
Colorado	CO-08	Yadira Caraveo	EVEN	D	Toss Up	Jun-25	Yadira Caraveo	$3,464,254	Gabe Evans	$532,844
Colorado	CO-03	OPEN (Boebert)	R+7	R	Lean R	Jun-25	Adam Frisch	$3,924,268	Jeff Hurd	$156,577
Connecticut	CT-05	Jahana Hayes	D+3	D	Lean D	Aug-13	Jahana Hayes	$2,065,380	George Logan	$1,013,129
Illinois	IL-17	Eric Sorensen	D+2	D	Lean D	Mar-19	Eric Sorensen	$2,590,786	Joseph McGraw	$475,444
Indiana	IN-01	Frank Mrvan	D+3	D	Lean D	May-7	Frank Mrvan	$1,472,994	Randy Niemeyer	$446,529
Iowa	IA-03	Zach Nunn	R+3	R	Lean R	Jun-4	Lanon Baccam	$1,594,015	Zach Nunn	$2,439,075
Maine	ME-02	Jared Golden	R+6	D	Toss Up	Jun-11	Jared Golden	$3,289,109	Austin Theriault	$898,582
Michigan	MI-07	OPEN (Slotkin)	R+2	D	Toss Up	Aug-6	Curtis Hertel	$3,280,946	Tom Barrett	$1,215,354
Michigan	MI-08	OPEN (Kildee)	R+1	D	Toss Up	Aug-6	Kristen McDonald Rivet	$805,117	Paul Junge	$332,295
Michigan	MI-10	John James	R+3	R	Lean R	Aug-6	Carl Marlinga	$104,385	John James	$4,016,408
Minnesota	MN-02	Angie Craig	D+1	D	Lean D	Aug-13	Angie Craig	$3,833,263	Joe Teirab	$813,428
Nebraska	NE-02	Don Bacon	EVEN	R	Lean R	May-14	Tony Vargas	$2,524,082	Don Bacon	$2,215,340
Nevada	NV-03	Susie Lee	D+1	D	Lean D	Jun-11	Susie Lee	$2,989,768	Drew Johnson	$49,936
New Jersey	NJ-07	Thomas Kean	R+1	R	Toss Up	Jun-4	Sue Altman	$2,223,330	Thomas Kean	$3,005,363
New Mexico	NM-02	Gabe Vasquez	D+1	D	Toss Up	Jun-4	Gabe Vasquez	$2,702,018	Yvette Herrell	$1,354,939
New York	NY-18	Pat Ryan	D+2	D	Lean D	Jun-25	Pat Ryan	$3,544,699	Alison Esposito	$729,460
New York	NY-22	Brandon Williams	D+3	R	Lean D	Jun-25	John Mannion	$340,531	Brandon Williams	$1,363,587
New York	NY-04	Anthony DEsposito	D+5	R	Toss Up	Jun-25	Laura Gillen	$2,518,692	Anthony DEsposito	$2,171,544
New York	NY-17	Mike Lawler	D+3	R	Toss Up	Jun-25	Mondaire Jones	$4,312,537	Mike Lawler	$3,930,456
New York	NY-19	Marc Molinaro	R+1	R	Toss Up	Jun-25	Josh Riley	$4,001,183	Marc Molinaro	$2,260,325
North Carolina	NC-01	Don Davis	R+1	D	Toss Up	Mar-5	Don Davis	$2,621,138	Laurie Buckhout	$600,021
Ohio	OH-09	Marcy Kaptur	R+3	D	Toss Up	Mar-19	Marcy Kaptur	$2,636,320	Derek Merrin	$408,073
Ohio	OH-13	Emilia Sykes	R+1	D	Toss Up	Mar-19	Emilia Sykes	$2,369,256	Kevin Coughlin	$389,218
Oregon	OR-06	Andrea Salinas	D+4	D	Lean D	May-21	Andrea Salinas	$2,169,080	Mike Erickson	$234,144
Oregon	OR-05	Lori Chavez-DeRemer	D+2	R	Tossup	May-21	Janelle Bynum	$1,087,862	Lori Chavez-DeRemer	$2,409,555
Pennsylvania	PA-17	Chris Deluzio	EVEN	D	Lean D	Apr-23	Chris Deluzio	$1,871,536	Rob Mercuri	$801,259
Pennsylvania	PA-07	Susan Wild	R+2	D	Toss Up	Apr-23	Susan Wild	$3,855,492	Ryan MacKenzie	$373,255
Pennsylvania	PA-08	Matt Cartwright	R+4	D	Toss Up	Apr-23	Matt Cartwright	$4,538,774	Robert Bresnahan	$1,225,264
Pennsylvania	PA-10	Scott Perry	R+5	R	Lean R	Apr-23	Janelle Stelson	$1,115,431	Scott Perry	$788,823
Texas	TX-34	Vicente Gonzalez	D+9	D	Lean D	May-28	Vicente Gonzalez	$1,679,288	Mayra Flores	$1,093,137
Virginia	VA-07	OPEN (Spanberger)	D+1	D	Lean D	Jun-18	Eugene Vindman	$2,284,458	Derrick Anderson	$460,802
Virginia	VA-02	Jen Kiggans	R+2	R	Lean R	Jun-18	Missy Cotter Smasal	$584,974	Jen Kiggans	$2,471,942
Washington	WA-03	Marie Gluesenkamp Perez	R+5	D	Toss Up	Aug-6	Marie Gluesenkamp Perez	$3,825,433	Joe Kent	$585,494
Wisconsin	WI-03	Derrick Van Orden	R+4	R	Lean R	Aug-13	Rebecca Cooke	$1,050,132	Derrick Van Orden	$2,383,946

Samasal has picked up some key endorsements before the June 18 primary, including: Spanberger, U.S. Rep. Jennifer McClellan (D), U.S. Rep. Jennifer Wexton (D) and former Gov. Ralph Northam (D).

Issues that are likely to be flashpoints in the 2024 election are:

Reproductive Rights: The governance stakes have focused on reproductive rights, particularly Republican support for limits. The 2023 election showed broad support for abortion access.
Social Security and Medicare: These programs are a major point of contention between Democrats and Republicans.
Education: Republicans’s focus on targeting educational curriculum and parents’ rights to decisions made by schools. However, book-banning candidates fared poorly in 2023, so the tactic may backfire.
Culture Wars: Particularly those targeting the LGBTQ community, are also expected to be a major issue in the 2024 election for both parties.

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