Take Action Virginia

VA-01 (Flip, Wittman); VA-02 (Flip, Kiggans); VA-07 (Hold, Vindman)

In Virginia, the central story is whether Democrats can expand their House map by flipping competitive Republican-held seats in VA-01 and VA-02, while defending Congressman Eugene Vindman, a key incumbent in VA-07. Several districts, once considered more stable, are now in play due to shifting suburban voting patterns, especially in the Richmond and Hampton Roads regions. These areas have seen steady Democratic gains over the past decade, narrowing Republican margins and creating new pickup opportunities in districts like VA-01 and VA-02.

At the same time, Virginia voters are highly engaged and increasingly motivated by issues beyond the economy. Concern about the state of democracy and maintaining civic norms has emerged as the top priority, outpacing inflation and immigration. Energy demand tied to rapid data center growth, infrastructure strain, and broader cost-of-living pressures are also shaping voter sentiment. Virginia is positioned to be one of the most dynamic and closely watched states in 2026.

COMPETITIVE HOUSE RACES

StateDistrictIncumbentParty in PowerPartisan LeanCook RatingPrimary DateDem Candidate$ Raised (Dem)Rep Candidate$ Raised (Rep)
ArizonaAZ-01OPEN (David Schweikert)RepublicanR+1Toss Up21-Jul-26Yes
ArizonaAZ-06Juan CiscomaniRepublicanEVENToss Up21-Jul-26Juan CiscomaniH2AZ02360$3,944,898Yes
CaliforniaCA-13Adam GrayDemocraticD+2Lean D2-Jun-26Adam GrayH2CA13115$2,321,497
CaliforniaCA-22David ValadaoRepublicanD+1Toss Up2-Jun-26David ValadaoH2CA20094$3,062,912Yes
CaliforniaCA-45Derek TranDemocraticD+3Lean D2-Jun-26Derek TranH4CA45170$3,032,585
CaliforniaCA-48OPEN (Darrell Issa)RepublicanD+2Lean D2-Jun-26
ColoradoCO-08Gabe EvansRepublicanEVENToss Up2-Jun-26Gabe EvansH4CO08034$3,054,210Yes
FloridaFL-23Jared MoskowitzDemocraticD+2Lean D18-Aug-26Jared MoskowitzH2FL22171$1,286,355
IowaIA-01Mariannette Miller-MeeksRepublicanR+4Toss Up2-Jun-26Mariannette Miller-MeeksH8IA02043$4,255,011
IowaIA-03Zach NunnRepublicanR+2Toss Up2-Jun-26Sarah Trone GarriottH6IA03268$1,388,457Zach NunnH2IA03119$2,614,980
MichiganMI-07Tom BarrettRepublicanEVENToss Up4-Aug-26Tom BarrettH2MI07123$3,783,617
MichiganMI-08Kristen McDonald RivetDemocraticR+1Lean D4-Aug-26Kristen McDonald RivetH4MI08218$3,305,120
MichiganMI-10OPEN (John James)RepublicanR+3Lean R4-Aug-26
North CarolinaNC-01Don DavisDemocraticR+5Lean R3-Mar-26Don DavisH2NC02287$2,204,686Laurie BuckhoutH4NC01137$2,273,362
NebraskaNE-02OPEN (Don Bacon)RepublicanD+3Lean D12-May-26
New JerseyNJ-07Thomas KeanRepublicanEVENToss Up2-Jun-26Thomas KeanH0NJ07261$3,246,540
New MexicoNM-02Gabe VasquezDemocraticEVENLean D2-Jun-26Gabe VasquezH2NM02191$1,997,815
NevadaNV-03Susie LeeDemocraticD+1Lean D9-Jun-26Susie LeeH6NV04020$2,463,467
New YorkNY-03Tom SuozziDemocraticEVENLean D23-Jun-26Tom SuozziH6NY03247$3,246,484
New YorkNY-04Laura GillenDemocraticD+2Lean D23-Jun-26Laura GillenH2NY04244$2,858,865
New YorkNY-17Mike LawlerRepublicanD+1Toss Up23-Jun-26Mike LawlerH2NY17162$6,731,833
New YorkNY-19Josh RileyDemocraticD+1Lean D23-Jun-26Josh RileyH8NY22177$3,129,176
OhioOH-01Greg LandsmanDemocraticR+1Lean D5-May-26Greg LandsmanH2OH01194$1,828,892
OhioOH-09Marcy KapturDemocraticR+5Toss Up5-May-26Marcy KapturH2OH09031$1,715,103
PennsylvaniaPA-07Ryan MacKenzieRepublicanR+1Toss Up19-May-26Ryan MacKenzieH8PA15195$2,577,819
PennsylvaniaPA-08Rob BresnahanRepublicanR+4Toss Up19-May-26Rob BresnahanH4PA08124$2,998,394
PennsylvaniaPA-10Scott PerryRepublicanR+3Toss Up19-May-26Scott PerryH2PA04135$2,880,657
TexasTX-28Henry CuellarDemocraticR+3Lean D3-Mar-26Henry CuellarH2TX23082$1,189,858Tano TijerinaH6TX28124$427,768
TexasTX-34Vicente GonzalezDemocraticR+3Toss Up3-Mar-26Vicente GonzalezH6TX15162$1,916,886Eric FloresH6TX34080$1,415,921
VirginiaVA-01Rob WittmanRepublicanR+3Lean R16-Jun-26Rob WittmanH8VA01147$2,480,082
VirginiaVA-02Jen KiggansRepublicanEVENToss Up16-Jun-26Jen KiggansH2VA02064$3,578,435
VirginiaVA-07Eugene VindmanDemocraticD+2Lean D16-Jun-26Eugene VindmanH4VA07234$7,044,268
WashingtonWA-03Marie Gluesenkamp PerezDemocraticR+2Toss Up4-Aug-26Marie Gluesenkamp PerezH2WA03217$3,240,473
WisconsinWI-03Derrick Van OrdenRepublicanR+3Toss Up11-Aug-26Derrick Van OrdenH0WI03175$4,348,058
  • Thirteen Democrats are competing for the VA-01 ahead of the August 4 primary; Shannon Taylor leads fundraising, followed by Lisa Khanna and Jason Knapp.
  • VA-01 is rated Lean Republican, but Democratic gains in Richmond-area suburbs are narrowing the gap.
  • Seven Democrats are running in VA-02; former Representative Elaine Luria leads in fundraising and name recognition.
  • VA-02 has flipped between parties in recent election cycles.
  • Democrat Eugene Vindman is defending VA-07, a competitive district that has trended slightly Democratic in recent cycles.
  • A proposed redistricting amendment could temporarily return map-drawing power to the legislature and reshape districts before 2026.
    Legal challenges to the amendment are ongoing, but voting is proceeding and could impact upcoming elections.
  • Early voting turnout in the redistricting referendum is highest in Republican-held districts, including VA-01.
  • Protecting democracy and civic norms is the top issue for 41% of Virginia voters, according to a recent poll.
  • Energy demand from data center growth and concerns about infrastructure capacity are emerging as key statewide issues.

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