Take Action Wisconsin

WI-03 (Flip)

Wisconsin is divided politically: Deep-red rural areas in the north/west and Democratic-stronghold urban centers in Milwaukee and Madison. Republicans hold six of eight U.S. House seats, but statewide contests are often won by slim margins.

Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional district, a largely rural area, is a possible flip. The incumbent is a vocal Trump supporter who has supported Trump’s tariffs, which have pummeled the state’s agricultural, manufacturing, and automotive sectors. Democrat Rebecca Cooke, a small business owner, has positioned herself as a centrist who supports policies important to working families.

COMPETITIVE HOUSE RACES

StateDistrictIncumbentParty in PowerPartisan LeanCook RatingPrimary DateDem Candidate$ Raised (Dem)Rep Candidate$ Raised (Rep)
ArizonaAZ-01OPEN (David Schweikert)RepublicanR+1Toss Up21-Jul-26Yes
ArizonaAZ-06Juan CiscomaniRepublicanEVENToss Up21-Jul-26Juan CiscomaniH2AZ02360$5,083,547Yes
CaliforniaCA-13Adam GrayDemocraticD+2Lean D2-Jun-26Adam GrayH2CA13115$3,588,015
CaliforniaCA-22David ValadaoRepublicanD+1Toss Up2-Jun-26David ValadaoH2CA20094$4,233,413Yes
CaliforniaCA-45Derek TranDemocraticD+3Lean D2-Jun-26Derek TranH4CA45170$4,200,766
CaliforniaCA-48OPEN (Darrell Issa)RepublicanD+2Lean D2-Jun-26
ColoradoCO-08Gabe EvansRepublicanEVENToss Up30-Jun-26Gabe EvansH4CO08034$4,259,928Yes
FloridaFL-14Kathy CastorDemocraticR+4Lean R18-Aug-26Kathy CastorH6FL11126$876,012
FloridaFL-22Lois FrankelDemocraticR+4Lean R18-Aug-26
FloridaFL-25Debbie Wasserman SchultzDemocraticR+3Toss Up18-Aug-26Jared MoskowitzH4FL20023$2,502,689
IowaIA-01Mariannette Miller-MeeksRepublicanR+4Toss Up2-Jun-26Christina BohannanH2IA02111$5,646,240Mariannette Miller-MeeksH8IA02043$6,171,913
IowaIA-03Zach NunnRepublicanR+2Toss Up2-Jun-26Sarah Trone GarriottH6IA03268$3,892,746Zach NunnH2IA03119$4,146,939
MichiganMI-07Tom BarrettRepublicanEVENToss Up4-Aug-26Tom BarrettH2MI07123$5,033,912
MichiganMI-08Kristen McDonald RivetDemocraticR+1Lean D4-Aug-26Kristen McDonald RivetH4MI08218$4,384,972
MichiganMI-10OPEN (John James)RepublicanR+3Lean R4-Aug-26
North CarolinaNC-01Don DavisDemocraticR+5Lean R3-Mar-26Don DavisH2NC02287$3,232,086Laurie BuckhoutH4NC01137$2,743,029
NebraskaNE-02OPEN (Don Bacon)RepublicanD+3Lean D12-May-26Denise PowellH6NE02174$1,617,997Brinker HardingH6NE02208$1,279,187
New JerseyNJ-07Thomas KeanRepublicanEVENToss Up2-Jun-26Rebecca BennettH6NJ07201$2,944,138Thomas KeanH0NJ07261$4,542,250
New MexicoNM-02Gabe VasquezDemocraticEVENLean D2-Jun-26Gabe VasquezH2NM02191$3,157,009Greg CunninghamH6NM02127$675,551
NevadaNV-03Susie LeeDemocraticD+1Lean D9-Jun-26Susie LeeH6NV04020$3,862,399
New YorkNY-03Tom SuozziDemocraticEVENLean D23-Jun-26Tom SuozziH6NY03247$4,110,037
New YorkNY-04Laura GillenDemocraticD+2Lean D23-Jun-26Laura GillenH2NY04244$4,184,750
New YorkNY-17Mike LawlerRepublicanD+1Toss Up23-Jun-26Mike LawlerH2NY17162$6,731,833
New YorkNY-19Josh RileyDemocraticD+1Lean D23-Jun-26Josh RileyH8NY22177$3,955,385
OhioOH-01Greg LandsmanDemocraticR+1Lean D5-May-26Greg LandsmanH2OH01194$3,645,067Eric ConroyH6OH01138$879,025
OhioOH-09Marcy KapturDemocraticR+5Toss Up5-May-26Marcy KapturH2OH09031$3,385,266Derek MerrinH4OH09169$814,783
PennsylvaniaPA-07Ryan MacKenzieRepublicanR+1Toss Up19-May-26Bob BrooksH6PA07188$1,171,181Ryan MacKenzieH8PA15195$3,726,348
PennsylvaniaPA-08Rob BresnahanRepublicanR+4Toss Up19-May-26Paige CognettiH6PA08293$3,102,420Rob BresnahanH4PA08124$4,519,623
PennsylvaniaPA-10Scott PerryRepublicanR+3Toss Up19-May-26Janelle StelsonH4PA10104$4,691,753Scott PerryH2PA04135$4,415,918
TexasTX-28Henry CuellarDemocraticR+3Lean D3-Mar-26Henry CuellarH2TX23082$1,620,505Tano TijerinaH6TX28124$937,221
TexasTX-34Vicente GonzalezDemocraticR+3Toss Up3-Mar-26Vicente GonzalezH6TX15162$2,907,549Eric FloresH6TX34080$2,158,799
VirginiaVA-01Robert WittmanRepublicanR+3Lean R16-Jun-26Robert WittmanH8VA01147$3,398,634
VirginiaVA-02Jen KiggansRepublicanEVENToss Up16-Jun-26Jen KiggansH2VA02064$4,746,033
WashingtonWA-03Marie Gluesenkamp PerezDemocraticR+2Toss Up4-Aug-26Marie Gluesenkamp PerezH2WA03217$4,548,761
WisconsinWI-03Derrick Van OrdenRepublicanR+3Toss Up11-Aug-26Derrick Van OrdenH0WI03175$5,677,515

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Resources

Coordinator(s):
Steve Vogel
Ben Lawent
James Arena-DeRosa

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