Take Action: California

Name: Canvass for Will Rollins (CA-41) in Corona!
Start: 2024-05-18T13:00:00-04:00
End: 2024-05-18T17:00:00-04:00
Location: Corona, CA

CA-13; CA-22, CA-27; CA- 41; CA-45; CA-47 (Open)

Redistricting in California created more GOP-favored districts, leading to a disappointing showing in the 2022 U.S. House elections. No incumbents were unseated, but Democrats lost two districts, and in Washington, Democrats lost control of the House.

In 2024, Democrats are focusing on the state to ensure a stronger showing across the board. California remains a battleground. According to the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, 10 California seats are in play in the upcoming election.

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COMPETITIVE CA RACES

State	District	Incumbent	Party	Partisan Lean	Cook Rating	Primary Date	Dem Candidate	$ Raised (Dem)	Rep Candidate	$ Raised (Rep)
Alaska	AK-00	Mary Peltola	R+8	D	Lean D	Aug-20	Mary Peltola	$2,574,831
Arizona	AZ-01	David Schweikert	R+2	R	Toss Up	Jul-30			David Schweikert	$1,192,101
Arizona	AZ-06	Juan Ciscomani	R+3	R	Toss Up	Jul-30			Juan Ciscomani	$2,452,350
California	CA-47	OPEN (Porter)	D+3	D	Lean D	Mar-5	David Min	$424,839	Scott Baugh	$1,903,809
California	CA-13	John Duarte	D+4	R	Toss Up	Mar-5	Adam Gray	$1,150,422	John Duarte	$1,813,336
California	CA-22	David Valadao	D+5	R	Toss Up	Mar-5	Rudy Salas	$754,435	David Valadao	$1,640,960
California	CA-27	Mike Garcia	D+4	R	Toss Up	Mar-5	George Whitesides	$3,047,188	Mike Garcia	$1,754,767
California	CA-41	Ken Calvert	R+3	R	Toss Up	Mar-5	Will Rollins	$3,162,026	Ken Calvert	$2,639,377
California	CA-45	Michelle Steel	D+2	R	Lean R	Mar-5	Derek Tran	$195,382	Michelle Steel	$3,218,738
Colorado	CO-08	Yadira Caraveo	EVEN	D	Toss Up	Jun-25	Yadira Caraveo	$1,997,583
Colorado	CO-03	OPEN (Boebert)	R+7	R	Lean R	Jun-25			OPEN (Boebert)
Connecticut	CT-05	Jahana Hayes	D+3	D	Lean D	Aug-13	Jahana Hayes	$1,526,492
Illinois	IL-17	Eric Sorensen	D+2	D	Lean D	Mar-19	Eric Sorensen	$2,157,618	Joseph McGraw	$325,191
Indiana	IN-01	Frank Mrvan	D+3	D	Lean D	May-7	Frank Mrvan	$1,238,183
Iowa	IA-03	Zach Nunn	R+3	R	Lean R	Jun-4			Zach Nunn	$1,847,579
Maine	ME-02	Jared Golden	R+6	D	Toss Up	Jun-11	Jared Golden	$2,156,439
Michigan	MI-07	OPEN (Slotkin)	R+2	D	Toss Up	Aug-6
Michigan	MI-08	OPEN (Kildee)	R+1	D	Toss Up	Aug-6
Michigan	MI-10	John James	R+3	R	Lean R	Aug-6			John James	$2,958,581
Minnesota	MN-02	Angie Craig	D+1	D	Lean D	Aug-13	Angie Craig	$2,822,415
Nebraska	NE-02	Don Bacon	EVEN	R	Lean R	May-14			Don Bacon	$1,727,525
Nevada	NV-03	Susie Lee	D+1	D	Lean D	Jun-11	Susie Lee	$2,179,266
New Jersey	NJ-07	Thomas Kean	R+1	R	Toss Up	Jun-4			Thomas Kean	$2,395,291
New Mexico	NM-02	Gabe Vasquez	D+1	D	Toss Up	Jun-4	Gabe Vasquez	$1,805,859
New York	NY-18	Pat Ryan	D+2	D	Lean D	Jun-25	Pat Ryan	$2,768,926
New York	NY-22	Brandon Williams	D+3	D	Lean D	Jun-25	Brandon Williams	$1,080,376
New York	NY-04	Anthony DEsposito	D+5	R	Toss Up	Jun-25			Anthony DEsposito	$1,363,618
New York	NY-17	Mike Lawler	D+3	R	Toss Up	Jun-25			Mike Lawler	$3,022,485
New York	NY-19	Marc Molinaro	R+1	R	Toss Up	Jun-25			Marc Molinaro	$1,767,264
North Carolina	NC-01	Don Davis	R+1	D	Toss Up	Mar-5	Don Davis	$1,845,760
Ohio	OH-09	Marcy Kaptur	R+3	D	Toss Up	Mar-19	Marcy Kaptur	$1,893,847
Ohio	OH-13	Emilia Sykes	R+1	D	Toss Up	Mar-19	Emilia Sykes	$1,649,815
Oregon	OR-06	Andrea Salinas	D+4	D	Lean D	May-21	Andrea Salinas	$1,601,364
Oregon	OR-05	Lori Chavez-DeRemer	D+2	R	Lean R	May-21			Lori Chavez-DeRemer	$1,878,340
Pennsylvania	PA-17	Chris Deluzio	EVEN	D	Lean D	Apr-23	Chris Deluzio	$1,491,729
Pennsylvania	PA-07	Susan Wild	R+2	D	Toss Up	Apr-23	Susan Wild	$2,662,153
Pennsylvania	PA-08	Matt Cartwright	R+4	D	Toss Up	Apr-23	Matt Cartwright	$3,151,047
Pennsylvania	PA-10	Scott Perry	R+5	R	Lean R	Apr-23			Scott Perry	$513,461
Texas	TX-34	Vicente Gonzalez	D+9	D	Lean D	May-28	Vicente Gonzalez	$1,452,143
Virginia	VA-07	OPEN (Spanberger)	D+1	D	Lean D	Jun-18
Virginia	VA-02	Jen Kiggans	R+2	R	Lean R	Jun-18			Jen Kiggans	$1,785,014
Washington	WA-03	Marie Gluesenkamp Perez	R+5	D	Toss Up	Aug-6	Marie Gluesenkamp Perez	$3,028,214
Wisconsin	WI-03	Derrick Van Orden	R+4	R	Lean R	Aug-13	Derrick Van Orden	$1,946,820

The outcome in a string of contested California districts will be critical in determining the balance of power in Congress. Volunteer Blue is focusing on one open seat in CA-47 and five seats that can be flipped (CA districts 13, 22, 27, 41, and 45). Four of the five GOP-held districts are considered Tossups, while CA-45 is Lean R. The June 7 primary will determine what Democrat will be running in those five districts.

House Majority PAC, a super PAC affiliated with the Democratic Party, Is targeting four California Republicans: Mike Garcia (CA-27), Young Kim (CA-40), Ken Calvert (CA-41), and Michelle Steel CA-45).

One open U.S. Senate seat, formerly held by the late Dianne Feinstein, boasts dozens of declared candidates, though the most well-known are Democrats currently serving in Congress – Katie Porter (CA-47) and Adam Schiff (CA-30) as front-runners with Barbara Lee (CA-12) trailing in polls and fund-raising.

California has been a bellwether for national politics in recent years, and the results of these races could have a significant impact on the balance of power in the U.S. House of Representatives.

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