Take Action Arizona

AZ-01 (Open); AZ-02 (Flip, Crane); AZ-06 (Flip, Ciscomani - R)

The Republican stronghold days are over; Arizona has emerged as a true swing state. While Arizona is fairly polarized politically, voter concerns about key economic issues such as housing, inflation, and immigration cross party lines. Years of organizing have resulted in Democrats being within a few seats of flipping the party balance in the state legislature. Democratic Senators Gallego and Kelly are widely respected.

Of the state’s six Congressional seats currently held by Republicans, two seats — Arizona 01 and Arizona 06 – have been identified as vulnerable, and one – Arizona 02 – is worth watching. One of the vulnerable seats is open, and the other is represented by a Republican who has distinct weaknesses.

COMPETITIVE HOUSE RACES
StateDistrictIncumbentParty in PowerPartisan LeanCook RatingPrimary DateDem Candidate$ Raised (Dem)Rep Candidate$ Raised (Rep)
ArizonaAZ-01OPEN (David Schweikert)RepublicanR+1Toss Up21-Jul-26Yes
ArizonaAZ-06Juan CiscomaniRepublicanEVENToss Up21-Jul-26Juan CiscomaniH2AZ02360$5,083,547Yes
CaliforniaCA-13Adam GrayDemocraticD+2Lean D2-Jun-26Adam GrayH2CA13115$3,283,978
CaliforniaCA-22David ValadaoRepublicanD+1Toss Up2-Jun-26David ValadaoH2CA20094$4,150,872Yes
CaliforniaCA-45Derek TranDemocraticD+3Lean D2-Jun-26Derek TranH4CA45170$3,860,528
CaliforniaCA-48OPEN (Darrell Issa)RepublicanD+2Lean D2-Jun-26
ColoradoCO-08Gabe EvansRepublicanEVENToss Up2-Jun-26Gabe EvansH4CO08034$4,259,928Yes
FloridaFL-23Jared MoskowitzDemocraticD+2Lean D18-Aug-26Jared MoskowitzH2FL22171$1,710,590
IowaIA-01Mariannette Miller-MeeksRepublicanR+4Toss Up2-Jun-26Mariannette Miller-MeeksH8IA02043$5,748,767
IowaIA-03Zach NunnRepublicanR+2Toss Up2-Jun-26Sarah Trone GarriottH6IA03268$3,080,897Zach NunnH2IA03119$3,882,730
MichiganMI-07Tom BarrettRepublicanEVENToss Up4-Aug-26Tom BarrettH2MI07123$5,033,912
MichiganMI-08Kristen McDonald RivetDemocraticR+1Lean D4-Aug-26Kristen McDonald RivetH4MI08218$4,384,972
MichiganMI-10OPEN (John James)RepublicanR+3Lean R4-Aug-26
North CarolinaNC-01Don DavisDemocraticR+5Lean R3-Mar-26Don DavisH2NC02287$3,232,086Laurie BuckhoutH4NC01137$2,743,029
NebraskaNE-02OPEN (Don Bacon)RepublicanD+3Lean D12-May-26
New JerseyNJ-07Thomas KeanRepublicanEVENToss Up2-Jun-26Thomas KeanH0NJ07261$4,374,665
New MexicoNM-02Gabe VasquezDemocraticEVENLean D2-Jun-26Gabe VasquezH2NM02191$2,883,218
NevadaNV-03Susie LeeDemocraticD+1Lean D9-Jun-26Susie LeeH6NV04020$3,498,064
New YorkNY-03Tom SuozziDemocraticEVENLean D23-Jun-26Tom SuozziH6NY03247$4,110,037
New YorkNY-04Laura GillenDemocraticD+2Lean D23-Jun-26Laura GillenH2NY04244$4,184,750
New YorkNY-17Mike LawlerRepublicanD+1Toss Up23-Jun-26Mike LawlerH2NY17162$6,731,833
New YorkNY-19Josh RileyDemocraticD+1Lean D23-Jun-26Josh RileyH8NY22177$3,955,385
OhioOH-01Greg LandsmanDemocraticR+1Lean D5-May-26Greg LandsmanH2OH01194$3,645,067Eric ConroyH6OH01138$853,604
OhioOH-09Marcy KapturDemocraticR+5Toss Up5-May-26Marcy KapturH2OH09031$3,385,266Derek MerrinH4OH09169$773,454
PennsylvaniaPA-07Ryan MacKenzieRepublicanR+1Toss Up19-May-26Ryan MacKenzieH8PA15195$3,726,348
PennsylvaniaPA-08Rob BresnahanRepublicanR+4Toss Up19-May-26Rob BresnahanH4PA08124$4,519,623
PennsylvaniaPA-10Scott PerryRepublicanR+3Toss Up19-May-26Scott PerryH2PA04135$4,415,918
TexasTX-28Henry CuellarDemocraticR+3Lean D3-Mar-26Henry CuellarH2TX23082$1,620,505Tano TijerinaH6TX28124$937,221
TexasTX-34Vicente GonzalezDemocraticR+3Toss Up3-Mar-26Vicente GonzalezH6TX15162$2,907,549Eric FloresH6TX34080$2,158,799
VirginiaVA-02Jen KiggansRepublicanEVENToss Up16-Jun-26Jen KiggansH2VA02064$4,746,033
WashingtonWA-03Marie Gluesenkamp PerezDemocraticR+2Toss Up4-Aug-26Marie Gluesenkamp PerezH2WA03217$4,548,761
WisconsinWI-03Derrick Van OrdenRepublicanR+3Toss Up11-Aug-26Derrick Van OrdenH0WI03175$5,677,515

Events

Resources

Coordinator(s):
Diane Sherlock
Claudia Miller

Local Organization(s):
Swing Left Maricopa County

Project 15/30

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