Take Action Arizona

Senate (Sinema), AZ-01 (Flip - Schweikert), AZ-06 (Flip - Ciscomani)

The now independent Senator Kyrsten Sinema is being challenged by both Democrats and Republicans. Reuben Gallego, the U.S. Congressman for Arizona’s 3rd Congressional district, is leading the field of Democratic candidates. Sinema's Senate seat; rated as Tossup by Cook Political Report.

In the House races, AZ-01 and AZ-06 are ripe for flips. In AZ-01, Conor O’Callaghan and Andre Cherny lead the Democrats in campaign donations. In AZ-06, Arizona State Senator Kirsten Engel is mounting a strong campaign for the seat. Cook has has rated the races in AZ-01 and AZ-06 as Tossups. The primary is scheduled for August 6.
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StateIncumbentPVICook RatingPrimary DateDemocratic CandidateRepublican Candidate
ArizonaOPEN -- (Sinema (I))R+2TossupJul-30Ruben Gallego*
NevadaJacky Rosen (D)EVENLean DJun-11Jacky Rosen
PennsylvaniaBob Casey (D)R+2Lean DApr-23Bob Casey
WisconsinTammy Baldwin (D)R+2Lean DAug-06Tammy Baldwin
MichiganOPEN -- (Stabinow (D))EVENLean DAug-06Elissa Slotkin*
OhioSherrod Brown (D)R+6TossupMar-19Sherrod BrownBernie Moreno
MontanaJon Tester (D)R+11Lean DJun-04Jon Tester
StateDistrictIncumbentPartyPartisan LeanCook RatingPrimary DateDem Candidate$ Raised (Dem)Rep Candidate$ Raised (Rep)
AlaskaAK-00Mary PeltolaDR+8Lean D20-AugMary Peltola$1,774,747
ArizonaAZ-01David SchweikertRR+2Toss Up30-JulDavid Schweikert$901,940
ArizonaAZ-06Juan CiscomaniRR+3Toss Up30-JulJuan Ciscomani$2,130,200
CaliforniaCA-13John DuarteRD+4Toss Up5-MarAdam Gray$468,385John Duarte$1,487,119
CaliforniaCA-22David ValadaoRD+5Toss Up5-MarRudy Salas$122,207David Valadao$1,323,307
CaliforniaCA-27Mike GarciaRD+4Toss Up5-MarGeorge Whitesides$2,508,524Mike Garcia$1,560,751
CaliforniaCA-41Ken CalvertRR+3Toss Up5-MarWill Rollins$2,424,885Ken Calvert$2,334,274
CaliforniaCA-45Michelle SteelRD+2Lean R5-MarDerek Tran$66,630Michelle Steel$2,932,122
CaliforniaCA-47Open (Porter)DD+3Lean D5-MarDavid Min$224,079Scott Baugh$1,707,928
ColoradoCO-03Open (Boebert)RR+7Lean R25-Jun
ColoradoCO-08Yadira CaraveoDEVENToss Up25-JunYadira Caraveo$1,359,808
ConnecticutCT-05Jahana HayesDD+3Lean D13-AugJahana Hayes$1,030,642
IowaIA-03Zach NunnRR+3Lean R4-JunZach Nunn$1,594,585
IllinoisIL-17Eric SorensenDD+2Lean D19-MarEric Sorensen$1,631,531Joe McGraw$218,150
IndianaIN-01Frank MrvanDD+3Lean D7-MayFrank Mrvan$823,242
MaineME-02Jared GoldenDR+6Toss Up11-JunJared Golden$1,436,515
MichiganMI-07Open (Slotkin)DR+2Toss Up6-Aug
MichiganMI-08Open (Kildee)DR+1Toss Up6-Aug
MichiganMI-10John JamesRR+3Lean R6-AugJohn James$2,346,810
North CarolinaNC-01Don DavisDR+1Toss Up5-MarDon Davis$961,681Laurie Buckhout$314,724
NebraskaNE-02Don BaconREVENLean R14-MayDon Bacon$1,547,517
New JerseyNJ-07Thomas KeanRR+1Toss Up4-JunThomas Kean$2,110,338
New MexicoNM-02Gabe VasquezDD+1Toss Up4-JunGabe Vasquez$1,247,093
NevadaNV-03Susie LeeDD+1Lean D11-JunSusie Lee$1,584,749
New YorkNY-04Anthony DEspositoRD+5Toss Up25-JunAnthony DEsposito$1,247,942
New YorkNY-17Mike LawlerRD+3Toss Up25-JunMike Lawler$2,500,120
New YorkNY-18Pat RyanDD+2Lean D25-JunPat Ryan$2,211,915
New YorkNY-19Marc MolinaroRR+1Toss Up25-JunMarc Molinaro$1,618,917
New YorkNY-22Brandon WilliamsRD+3Lean D25-JunBrandon Williams$913,071
OhioOH-09Marcy KapturDR+3Toss Up19-MarMarcy Kaptur$1,324,671
OhioOH-13Emilia SykesDR+1Toss Up19-MarEmilia Sykes$1,112,476Kevin Coughlin$248,119
OregonOR-05Lori Chavez-DeRemerRD+2Toss Up21-MayLori Chavez-DeRemer$1,608,022
OregonOR-06Andrea SalinasDD+4Lean D21-MayAndrea Salinas$1,097,894
PennsylvaniaPA-07Susan WildDR+2Toss Up23-AprSusan Wild$1,578,262
PennsylvaniaPA-08Matt CartwrightDR+4Toss Up23-AprMatt Cartwright$2,012,463
PennsylvaniaPA-10Scott PerryRR+5Lean R23-AprScott Perry$547,159
PennsylvaniaPA-17Chris DeluzioDEVENLean D23-AprChris Deluzio$986,156
TexasTX-34Vicente GonzalezDD+9Lean D28-MayVicente Gonzalez$1,208,034
VirginiaVA-02Jen KiggansRR+2Lean R18-JunJen Kiggans$1,504,729
VirginiaVA-07Open (Spanberger)DD+1Lean D18-Jun
WashingtonWA-03Marie Gluesenkamp PerezDR+5Toss Up6-AugMarie Gluesenkamp Perez$2,181,055
WisconsinWI-03Derrick Van OrdenRR+4Lean R13-AugDerrick Van Orden$1,617,321

A state that turned purple when it delivered its 11 electoral votes to Biden-Harris in 2020, Arizona is fueled by blue energy at every level. Volunteers are collecting signatures across the state to put abortion access on the ballot, and in the state legislature, just two additional Democratic wins in the state House and two in the state Senate will claim the majority

Arizona boasts two of the fastest growing state legislative districts in the country—one in the east and the other on the west side of the Valley of the Sun, the suburbs surrounding Phoenix. Most newcomers are young, professional, and Democratic. Meanwhile, AZ State Attorney General Kris Mayes is investigating the 2020 fake electors tied to Trump, while Secretary of State Adrian Fontes perseveres in his renowned work as one of our nation’s strongest and most successful democracy defenders.

Kari Lake, the failed gubernatorial candidate, and a bevy of other MAGA folk are roiling on the right while Volunteer Blue, along with its partners like Activate America and Swing Left, have targeted two currently Republican held House seats to flip—the 1st Congressional district, which includes Scottsdale, and the 6th anchored in Tucson.

The strategy in Arizona is to increase voter registration everywhere, including in the demographically dynamic legislative districts and established Latino communities and among native Americans living on tribal lands. Grassroots organizations also will be reaching out to low-propensity independent and Democratic voters throughout the state to boost voter turnout.



Diane Sherlock

Local Organization(s):
Swing Left Maricopa County

Project 15/30