Senate (Open), NC-01 Hold (Don Davis, D)
Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper is the Democrats’ best chance to flip a Senate Seat in 2026, according to the Cook Report. Having nearly 40 years in public office, Cooper has never lost an election. However, the race is rated a Tossup. His main Republican opponent is political insider Michael Whatley, who served one year as chair of the Republican National Committee.
North Carolina politics is notoriously unpredictable. The 2026 Senate election is likely to be among the most competitive and the most expensive races.
In NC-01, Democratic incumbent Don Davis is battling for re-election in a Lean R race. Davis, who was first elected in 2022, has two Republican opponents, but one that has deep pockets, having contributed $2 million of his own money to his own campaign.
| State | Incumbent | Partisan Lean | Cook Rating | Sabato Rating | Primary Date | Democratic Candidate | $ Raised (Dem) | Republican Candidate | $ Raised (Rep) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska | Dan Sullivan, R | R+6 | Lean R | Lean R | 18-Aug-26 | Mary Peltola | S6AK00276 | Dan Sullivan | S4AK00214 | $4,766,410 | |
| Georgia | Jon Ossoff, D | R+1 | Tossup | Lean D | 19-May-26 | Jon Ossoff | S8GA00180 | $43,231,398 | |||
| Iowa | OPEN - (Joni Ernst, R) | R+6 | Likely R | Likely R | 2-Jun-26 | Ashley Hinson | S6IA00314 | $4,892,227 | |||
| Maine | Susan Collins, R | D+4 | Tossup | Tossup | 9-Jun-26 | Susan Collins | S6ME00159 | $7,393,291 | |||
| Michigan | OPEN -- (Gary Peters, D) | EVEN | Tossup | Tossup | 4-Aug-26 | ||||||
| New Hampshire | OPEN -- (Jeane Shaheen, D) | D+2 | Lean D | Lean D | 8-Sep-26 | ||||||
| North Carolina | OPEN -- (Thom Tillis, R) | R+1 | Tossup | Tossup | 3-Mar-26 | Roy Cooper | S6NC00407 | $21,070,824 | Michael Whatley | S6NC00415 | $6,272,873 |
| Ohio | Jon Husted, R | R+5 | Lean R | Lean R | 5-May-26 | Sherrod Brown | S6OH00379 | $14,356,451 | Jon Husted | S6OH00304 | $7,348,700 |
| Texas | John Cornyn, R | R+6 | Likely R | Likely R | 3-Mar-26 | James Talarico | S6TX00479 | $20,694,809 |
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