Take Action New Jersey

NJ-07 (Flip, Kean Jr.)

New Jersey’s 7th Congressional District is a top Democratic pickup opportunity in 2026. Democrat Rebecca Bennett will face Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. who flipped the seat in 2022 after redistricting made the district more favorable to Republicans. Kean has taken some heat for being missing from the campaign trail and DC in the last three months of the primary campaign. Bennett won over three opponents with 46% of the vote. The Cook Political Report now rates NJ-07 as a Toss-Up, citing a stronger Democratic field and longer-term demographic shifts. The district spans affluent Union County suburbs to more rural northwestern areas and has historically leaned Republican, though recent trends suggest growing Democratic competitiveness.

Kean's lineage could continue to be a strength for him. His father served as governor, and his family's political roots roots in New Jersey date back to the 18th century. However, Kean's support of Trump's tariffs and his lack of support for New Jersey communities trying to block the conversion of warehouses to ICE detention centers could tank his reelection bid.

COMPETITIVE NJ RACES

StateDistrictIncumbentPartisan LeanCook RatingVotehub RatingPrimary DateDem Candidate$ Raised (Dem)Rep Candidate$ Raised (Rep)
ArizonaAZ-01OPEN (David Schweikert (R))RepublicanR+1Toss Up71.7% (D)21-Jul-26Yes
ArizonaAZ-06Juan Ciscomani (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up68.6% (D)21-Jul-26Juan CiscomaniH2AZ02360$5,083,547 Yes
CaliforniaCA-13Adam Gray (D)DemocraticD+2Lean D96.3% (D)26-Jun-26Adam GrayH2CA13115$3,588,015 Kevin LincolnH4CA09093$1,477,255
CaliforniaCA-22David Valadao (R)RepublicanD+1Toss Up75.1% (D)2-Jun-26Randy VillegasH6CA22190$1,748,192 David ValadaoH2CA20094$4,233,413 Yes
CaliforniaCA-48OPEN (Darrell Issa (R))RepublicanD+2Lean D91.6% (D)26-Jun-26Marni von WilpertH6CA48310$1,259,899 Jim DesmondH6CA49128$1,904,608
ColoradoCO-08Gabe Evans (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up74.5% (D)30-Jun-26Manny RutinelH6CO08013$4,131,903 Gabe EvansH4CO08034$4,889,696 Yes
FloridaFL-14Kathy Castor (D)DemocraticR+4Lean R59.2% (D)18-Aug-26Kathy CastorH6FL11126$876,012
FloridaFL-22Lois Frankel (D)DemocraticR+4Lean R65.6% (R)18-Aug-26
FloridaFL-25Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D)DemocraticR+3Toss Up59.8% (D)18-Aug-26Jared MoskowitzH4FL20023$2,502,689
IowaIA-01Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)RepublicanR+4Toss Up65.2% (D)2-Jun-26Christina BohannanH2IA02111$5,646,240 Mariannette Miller-MeeksH8IA02043$6,171,913
IowaIA-02OPEN (Ashley Hinson (R))RepublicanR+4Lean R ↑60.8% (R)2-Jun-26Lindsay JamesH6IA02211$872,614 Joe MitchellH6IA02237$1,560,824
IowaIA-03Zach Nunn (R)RepublicanR+2Toss Up60.4% (D)26-Jun-26Sarah Trone GarriottH6IA03268$3,892,746 Zach NunnH2IA03119$4,146,939
MichiganMI-04Bill Huizenga (R)RepublicanR+3Lean R ↑69.0% (R)4-Aug-26Bill HuizengaH0MI02094$2,997,558
MichiganMI-07Tom Barrett (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up62.2% (D)4-Aug-26Tom BarrettH2MI07123$5,033,612
MichiganMI-08Kristen McDonald Rivet (D)DemocraticR+1Lean D89.8% (D)4-Aug-26Kristen McDonald RivetH4MI08218$4,384,972
MichiganMI-10OPEN (John James - (R))RepublicanR+3Lean R55.8% (D)4-Aug-26
North CarolinaNC-01Don Davis (D)DemocraticR+5Lean R53.0% (R)3-Mar-26Don DavisH2NC02287$3,232,086 Laurie BuckhoutH4NC01137$2,743,029
North CarolinaNC-11Chuck Edwards (R)RepublicanR+5Lean R ↑52.0% (D)26-Mar-26Jamie AgerH6NC11248$1,690,328 Chuck EdwardsH2NC14050$784,839
NebraskaNE-02OPEN (Don Bacon (R))RepublicanD+3Lean D87.1% (D)12-May-26Denise PowellH6NE02174$1,617,997 Brinker HardingH6NE02208$1,279,187
New JerseyNJ-07Thomas Kean (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up70.3% (D)2-Jun-26Rebecca BennettH6NJ07201$2,944,138 Thomas KeanH0NJ07261$4,542,250
New MexicoNM-02Gabe Vasquez (D)DemocraticEVENLean D93.0% (D)2-Jun-26Gabe VasquezH2NM02191$3,157,009 Greg CunninghamH6NM02127$678,540
NevadaNV-03Susie Lee (D)DemocraticD+1Lean D87.2% (D)9-Jun-26Susie LeeH6NV04020$3,862,399 Marty O'Donnell H6NV03204$3,355,917
New YorkNY-03Tom Suozzi (D)DemocraticEVENLean D90.8% (D)26-Jun-26Tom SuozziH6NY03247$4,997,581 Michael LiPetriH0NY02267$1,064,326
New YorkNY-04Laura Gillen (D)DemocraticD+2Lean D94.0% (D)23-Jun-26Laura GillenH2NY04244$4,587,185
Jeanine Driscoll
H6NY04211$187,762
New YorkNY-17Mike Lawler (R)RepublicanD+1Toss Up67.2% (D)23-Jun-26H6NY17171$3,258,198 Mike LawlerH2NY17162$7,472,987
New YorkNY-19Josh Riley (D)DemocraticD+1Lean D88.9% (D)23-Jun-26Josh RileyH8NY22177$4,336,327
Peter Oberacker
H6NY19268$956,745
OhioOH-01Greg Landsman (D)DemocraticR+1Lean D86.4% (D)26-May-26Greg LandsmanH2OH01194$3,645,067 Eric ConroyH6OH01138$879,025
OhioOH-09Marcy Kaptur (D)DemocraticR+5Toss Up63.1% (D)5-May-26Marcy KapturH2OH09031$3,385,266 Derek MerrinH4OH09169$814,783
PennsylvaniaPA-07Ryan MacKenzie (R)RepublicanR+1Toss Up66.2% (D)19-May-26Bob BrooksH6PA07188$1,171,181 Ryan MacKenzieH8PA15195$3,726,348
PennsylvaniaPA-08Rob Bresnahan (R)RepublicanR+4Toss Up55.1% (D)19-May-26Paige CognettiH6PA08293$3,102,420 Rob BresnahanH4PA08124$4,519,623
PennsylvaniaPA-10Scott Perry (R)RepublicanR+3Toss Up67.3% (D)19-May-26Janelle StelsonH4PA10104$4,691,753 Scott PerryH2PA04135$4,415,918
TexasTX-28Henry Cuellar (D)DemocraticR+3Lean D89.6% (D)3-Mar-26Henry CuellarH2TX23082$1,620,505 Tano TijerinaH6TX28124$937,221
TexasTX-34Vicente Gonzalez (D)DemocraticR+3Toss Up78.0% (D)3-Mar-26Vicente GonzalezH6TX15162$2,907,549 Eric FloresH6TX34080$2,158,799
VirginiaVA-01Robert Wittman (R)RepublicanR+3Lean R63.4% (R)4-Aug-26Robert WittmanH8VA01147$3,398,634
VirginiaVA-02Jen Kiggans (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up68.6% (D)4-Aug-26Jen KiggansH2VA02064$4,746,033
WashingtonWA-03Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D)DemocraticR+2Toss Up84.9% (D)4-Aug-26Marie Gluesenkamp PerezH2WA03217$4,548,761
WisconsinWI-03Derrick Van Orden (R)RepublicanR+3Toss Up62.8% (D)11-Aug-26Derrick Van OrdenH0WI03175$5,677,515
  • Bennett served in the U.S. Navy earned a bachelor’s degree from Cornell University and a graduate degree from the University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School. Her career experience includes working as a healthcare executive.
  • Kean has aligned with Trump-era messaging, labeling reform efforts as “political games,” while local officials and residents have raised concerns about enforcement practices and proposed detention facility expansions.
  • Officials and residents have raised concerns about enforcement practices and proposed detention facility expansions. The Delaney Hall ICE detention center has been the site of a hunger strike and multiple protests.
  • Climate change and flood mitigation have emerged as significant concerns in NJ-07, where some areas face recurring flood damage and infrastructure challenges. Recent federal policy changes and funding shifts have raised concerns among local officials about FEMA’s capacity and support.
  • Healthcare and federal funding remain central issues, including debates over Medicaid, veterans’ services, and Social Security, following significant cuts and ongoing efforts to scale back funding.
  • Energy costs have risen across New Jersey, with some residents experiencing notable increases in utility bills.

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Coordinator(s):
Rina Schneur

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