Take Action: California

CA-13; CA-22, CA-27; CA- 41; CA-45; CA-47 (Open)

Redistricting in California created more GOP-favored districts, leading to a disappointing showing in the 2022 U.S. House elections. No incumbents were unseated, but Democrats lost two districts, and in Washington, Democrats lost control of the House.

In 2024, Democrats are focusing on the state to ensure a stronger showing across the board. California remains a battleground. According to the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, 10 California seats are in play in the upcoming election.

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COMPETITIVE CA RACES
StateDistrictIncumbentPartyPartisan LeanCook RatingPrimary DateDem Candidate$ Raised (Dem)Rep Candidate$ Raised (Rep)
AlaskaAK-00Mary PeltolaDR+8Lean D20-AugMary Peltola$1,774,747
ArizonaAZ-01David SchweikertRR+2Toss Up30-JulDavid Schweikert$901,940
ArizonaAZ-06Juan CiscomaniRR+3Toss Up30-JulJuan Ciscomani$2,130,200
CaliforniaCA-13John DuarteRD+4Toss Up5-MarAdam Gray$468,385John Duarte$1,487,119
CaliforniaCA-22David ValadaoRD+5Toss Up5-MarRudy Salas$122,207David Valadao$1,323,307
CaliforniaCA-27Mike GarciaRD+4Toss Up5-MarGeorge Whitesides$2,508,524Mike Garcia$1,560,751
CaliforniaCA-41Ken CalvertRR+3Toss Up5-MarWill Rollins$2,424,885Ken Calvert$2,334,274
CaliforniaCA-45Michelle SteelRD+2Lean R5-MarDerek Tran$66,630Michelle Steel$2,932,122
CaliforniaCA-47Open (Porter)DD+3Lean D5-MarDavid Min$224,079Scott Baugh$1,707,928
ColoradoCO-03Open (Boebert)RR+7Lean R25-Jun
ColoradoCO-08Yadira CaraveoDEVENToss Up25-JunYadira Caraveo$1,359,808
ConnecticutCT-05Jahana HayesDD+3Lean D13-AugJahana Hayes$1,030,642
IowaIA-03Zach NunnRR+3Lean R4-JunZach Nunn$1,594,585
IllinoisIL-17Eric SorensenDD+2Lean D19-MarEric Sorensen$1,631,531Joe McGraw$218,150
IndianaIN-01Frank MrvanDD+3Lean D7-MayFrank Mrvan$823,242
MaineME-02Jared GoldenDR+6Toss Up11-JunJared Golden$1,436,515
MichiganMI-07Open (Slotkin)DR+2Toss Up6-Aug
MichiganMI-08Open (Kildee)DR+1Toss Up6-Aug
MichiganMI-10John JamesRR+3Lean R6-AugJohn James$2,346,810
North CarolinaNC-01Don DavisDR+1Toss Up5-MarDon Davis$961,681Laurie Buckhout$314,724
NebraskaNE-02Don BaconREVENLean R14-MayDon Bacon$1,547,517
New JerseyNJ-07Thomas KeanRR+1Toss Up4-JunThomas Kean$2,110,338
New MexicoNM-02Gabe VasquezDD+1Toss Up4-JunGabe Vasquez$1,247,093
NevadaNV-03Susie LeeDD+1Lean D11-JunSusie Lee$1,584,749
New YorkNY-04Anthony DEspositoRD+5Toss Up25-JunAnthony DEsposito$1,247,942
New YorkNY-17Mike LawlerRD+3Toss Up25-JunMike Lawler$2,500,120
New YorkNY-18Pat RyanDD+2Lean D25-JunPat Ryan$2,211,915
New YorkNY-19Marc MolinaroRR+1Toss Up25-JunMarc Molinaro$1,618,917
New YorkNY-22Brandon WilliamsRD+3Lean D25-JunBrandon Williams$913,071
OhioOH-09Marcy KapturDR+3Toss Up19-MarMarcy Kaptur$1,324,671
OhioOH-13Emilia SykesDR+1Toss Up19-MarEmilia Sykes$1,112,476Kevin Coughlin$248,119
OregonOR-05Lori Chavez-DeRemerRD+2Toss Up21-MayLori Chavez-DeRemer$1,608,022
OregonOR-06Andrea SalinasDD+4Lean D21-MayAndrea Salinas$1,097,894
PennsylvaniaPA-07Susan WildDR+2Toss Up23-AprSusan Wild$1,578,262Ryan Mackenzie$137,616
PennsylvaniaPA-08Matt CartwrightDR+4Toss Up23-AprMatt Cartwright$2,012,463Robert Bresnahan$636,332
PennsylvaniaPA-10Scott PerryRR+5Lean R23-AprJanelle Stelson$140,288Scott Perry$547,159
PennsylvaniaPA-17Chris DeluzioDEVENLean D23-AprChris Deluzio$986,156Rob Mercuri$281,539
TexasTX-34Vicente GonzalezDD+9Lean D28-MayVicente Gonzalez$1,208,034
VirginiaVA-02Jen KiggansRR+2Lean R18-JunJen Kiggans$1,504,729
VirginiaVA-07Open (Spanberger)DD+1Lean D18-Jun
WashingtonWA-03Marie Gluesenkamp PerezDR+5Toss Up6-AugMarie Gluesenkamp Perez$2,181,055
WisconsinWI-03Derrick Van OrdenRR+4Lean R13-AugDerrick Van Orden$1,617,321

The outcome in a string of contested California districts will be critical in determining the balance of power in Congress. Volunteer Blue is focusing on one open seat in CA-47 and five seats that can be flipped (CA districts 13, 22, 27, 41, and 45). Four of the five GOP-held districts are considered Tossups, while CA-45 is Lean R. The June 7 primary will determine what Democrat will be running in those five districts.

House Majority PAC, a super PAC affiliated with the Democratic Party, Is targeting four California Republicans: Mike Garcia (CA-27), Young Kim (CA-40), Ken Calvert (CA-41), and Michelle Steel CA-45).

One open U.S. Senate seat, formerly held by the late Dianne Feinstein, boasts dozens of declared candidates, though the most well-known are Democrats currently serving in Congress – Katie Porter (CA-47) and Adam Schiff (CA-30) as front-runners with Barbara Lee (CA-12) trailing in polls and fund-raising.

California has been a bellwether for national politics in recent years, and the results of these races could have a significant impact on the balance of power in the U.S. House of Representatives.

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