Take Action New Jersey

NJ-07 (Kean Jr. - R), NJ-09 (Pou - D)

New Jersey represents a decent chance to pick up a seat in the U.S. Congress. Second-term Republican Congressman Thomas Kean Jr. is vulnerable in the purple 7th New Jersey Congressional District. Cook rates the race as Lean R. Former Navy helicopter pilot Rebecca Bennett is emerging among the crowded Democratic field to challenge Kean. In 2024, Nellie Pou (NJ-09) made history as the first Latina from New Jersey elected to the U.S. House of Representatives. Pou has decades of legislative service at the state and federal levels. Cook rates her district as Lean D.

The June primary win of Mikie Sherrill to lead the Democrats’ bid to hold on to the governor’s seat has cheered the state’s Democratic party. Sherrill will face a Republican whose political views are tied directly to Trump. The question is: Will Trump voters bother to turn out to the November election when Trump isn't on the ballot.

COMPETITIVE NJ RACES

StateDistrictIncumbentParty in PowerPartisan LeanCook RatingPrimary DateDem CandidateRep Candidate
AlaskaAK-ALNick Begich IIIRepublicanR+6Likely R18-Aug-26Nick Begich III
ArizonaAZ-01OPEN (David Schweikert)RepublicanR+1Toss Up4-Aug-26David SchweikertYes
ArizonaAZ-02Eli CraneRepublicanR+7Likely R4-Aug-26Eli Crane
ArizonaAZ-06Juan CiscomaniRepublicanEVENToss Up4-Aug-26Juan CiscomaniYes
CaliforniaCA-13Adam GrayDemocraticLean DToss Up2-Jun-26Adam Gray
CaliforniaCA-22David ValadaoRepublicanR+1Toss Up2-Jun-26David ValadaoYes
CaliforniaCA-48Darrell IssaRepublicanR+7Toss Up2-Jun-26
ColoradoCO-08Gabe EvansRepublicanEVENToss Up2-Jun-26Gabe EvansYes
FloridaFL-07Cory MillsRepublicanR+5Solid R18-Aug-26Cory Mills
FloridaFL-13Anna Paulina LunaRepublicanR+5Likely R18-Aug-26Anna Paulina Luna
FloridaFL-23Jared MoskowitzDemocraticD+2Lean D18-Aug-26Jared Moskowitz
FloridaFL-27Maria Elvira SalazarRepublicanR+6Solid R18-Aug-26Maria Elvira Salazar
IowaIA-01Mariannette Miller-MeeksRepublicanR+4Toss Up2-Jun-26Mariannette Miller-Meeks
IowaIA-02OPEN (Ashley Hinson)RepublicanR+4Likely R2-Jun-26
IowaIA-03Zach NunnRepublicanR+2Toss Up2-Jun-26Zach Nunn
KentuckyKY-06Andy BarrRepublicanR+7Solid R19-May-26Andy Barr
MaineME-02OPEN (Jared Golden)DemocraticR+4Toss Up9-Jun-26
MichiganMI-04Bill HuizengaRepublicanR+3Likely R4-Aug-26Bill Huizenga
MichiganMI-07Tom BarrettRepublicanEVENToss Up4-Aug-26Tom Barrett
MichiganMI-08Kristen McDonald RivetDemocraticR+1Lean D4-Aug-26Kristen McDonald Rivet
MichiganMI-10OPEN (John James)RepublicanR+3Lean R4-Aug-26
North CarolinaNC-01Don DavisDemocraticR+1Likely R3-Mar-26Don Davis
NebraskaNE-02OPEN (Don Bacon)RepublicanD+3Lean D12-May-26
New JerseyNJ-07Thomas KeanRepublicanEVENLean R2-Jun-26Thomas Kean
New MexicoNM-02Gabe VasquezDemocraticEVENToss Up2-Jun-26Gabe Vasquez
NevadaNV-03Susie LeeDemocraticD+1Lean D9-Jun-26Susie Lee
New YorkNY-04Laura GillenDemocraticD+2Lean D23-Jun-26Laura Gillen
New YorkNY-17Mike LawlerRepublicanD+1Toss Up23-Jun-26Mike Lawler
OhioOH-01Greg LandsmanDemocraticR+1Toss Up5-May-26Greg Landsman
OhioOH-09Marcy KapturDemocraticR+3Toss Up5-May-26Marcy Kaptur
PennsylvaniaPA-01Brian FitzpatrickRepublicanD+1Likely R19-May-26Brian Fitzpatrick
PennsylvaniaPA-07Ryan MacKenzieRepublicanR+1Toss Up19-May-26Ryan MacKenzie
PennsylvaniaPA-08Rob BresnahanRepublicanR+4Lean R19-May-26Rob Bresnahan
PennsylvaniaPA-10Scott PerryRepublicanR+3Toss Up19-May-26Scott Perry
TexasTX-28Henry CuellarDemocraticR+2Toss Up3-Mar-26Henry Cuellar
TexasTX-34Vicente GonzalezDemocraticEVENToss Up3-Mar-26Vicente Gonzalez
VirginiaVA-01Rob WittmanRepublicanR+3Lean R16-Jun-26Rob Wittman
VirginiaVA-02Jen KiggansRepublicanEVENLean R16-Jun-26Jen Kiggans
VirginiaVA-07Eugene VindmanDemocraticD+2Lean D16-Jun-26Eugene Vindman
WashingtonWA-03Marie Gluesenkamp PerezDemocraticR+2Toss Up4-Aug-26Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
WisconsinWI-01Bryan SteilRepublicanR+1Likely R11-Aug-26Bryan Steil
WisconsinWI-03Derrick Van OrdenRepublicanR+3Toss Up11-Aug-26Derrick Van Orden
  • Kean’s role on the House Energy and Commerce Committee laid bare his support for cutting taxes on the wealthy while slashing spending on federal programs, notably to social safety net services popular in his district. His votes have followed the MAGA party line.
  • Kean has shunned holding in-person town hall meetings with constituents. Former U.S. Rep. Tom Malinowski, who had flipped the seat blue in 2018 but lost to Kean after redistricting made the district redder. Malinowski running, met with constituents at a town hall in March to underscore Kean’s unwillingness to do so.
  • Ten Democratic candidates have filed to run in the primary for NJ-07.  Former Navy helicopter pilot and aircraft commander Rebecca Bennett and grassroots organizer Brian Varela are leading the pack in contributions to their campaigns.
  • Others in the NJ-07 race include former Summit Councilman Greg Vartan, former Small Business Administration official Michael Roth and Sue Altman, a top staffer for U.S. Sen. Andy Kim, NJ who narrowly lost to Kean in 2024.
  • Over time, NJ-07 has become more ethnically diverse, and it remains one of the most affluent congressional districts in the country, with the twelfth-highest median income in the nation.

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Coordinator(s):
Rina Schneur

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