| State | District | Incumbent | Partisan Lean | Party in Power | Cook Rating | Primary Date | Dem Candidate | $ Raised (Dem) | Rep Candidate | $ Raised (Rep) | Fundraising Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska | AK-00 | Mary Peltola | R+8 | D | Tossup | Aug-20 | Mary Peltola | $11,383,692 | Multiple | N/A | |
| Arizona | AZ-01 | David Schweikert | R+2 | R | Toss Up | Jul-30 | Amish Shah | $5,499,151 | David Schweikert | $3,806,313 | Yes |
| Arizona | AZ-06 | Juan Ciscomani | R+3 | R | Toss Up | Jul-30 | Kirsten Engel | $7,713,062 | Juan Ciscomani | $6,281,198 | |
| California | CA-47 | OPEN (Porter) | D+3 | D | Lean D | Mar-5 | David Min | $6,121,731 | Scott Baugh | $4,134,243 | Yes |
| California | CA-13 | John Duarte | D+4 | R | Toss Up | Mar-5 | Adam Gray | $5,416,262 | John Duarte | $4,147,092 | Yes |
| California | CA-22 | David Valadao | D+5 | R | Toss Up | Mar-5 | Rudy Salas | $5,772,500 | David Valadao | $4,605,340 | Yes |
| California | CA-27 | Mike Garcia | D+4 | R | Toss Up | Mar-5 | George Whitesides | $9,258,624 | Mike Garcia | $5,978,261 | |
| California | CA-41 | Ken Calvert | R+3 | R | Toss Up | Mar-5 | Will Rollins | $11,510,839 | Ken Calvert | $7,531,776 | |
| California | CA-45 | Michelle Steel | D+2 | R | Tossup | Mar-5 | Derek Tran | $5,000,888 | Michelle Steel | $9,441,899 | |
| Colorado | CO-08 | Yadira Caraveo | EVEN | D | Toss Up | Jun-25 | Yadira Caraveo | $7,303,139 | Gabe Evans | $2,297,545 | |
| Colorado | CO-03 | OPEN (Boebert) | R+7 | R | Likely R | Jun-25 | Adam Frisch | $16,502,296 | Jeff Hurd | $2,410,147 | |
| Connecticut | CT-05 | Jahana Hayes | D+3 | D | Lean D | Aug-13 | Jahana Hayes | $3,966,896 | George Logan | $2,633,764 | |
| Illinois | IL-17 | Eric Sorensen | D+2 | D | Likely D | Mar-19 | Eric Sorensen | $4,721,699 | Joseph McGraw | $1,385,103 | |
| Indiana | IN-01 | Frank Mrvan | D+3 | D | Likely D | May-7 | Frank Mrvan | $3,055,858 | Randy Niemeyer | $1,024,067 | |
| Iowa | IA-03 | Zach Nunn | R+3 | R | Toss Up | Jun-4 | Lanon Baccam | $4,826,753 | Zach Nunn | $5,227,097 | |
| Maine | ME-02 | Jared Golden | R+6 | D | Toss Up | Jun-11 | Jared Golden | $7,062,983 | Austin Theriault | $3,209,611 | |
| Michigan | MI-07 | OPEN (Slotkin) | R+2 | D | Toss Up | Aug-6 | Curtis Hertel | $7,045,643 | Tom Barrett | $4,622,111 | |
| Michigan | MI-08 | OPEN (Kildee) | R+1 | D | Toss Up | Aug-6 | Kristen McDonald Rivet | $5,255,715 | Paul Junge | $5,114,278 | |
| Michigan | MI-10 | John James | R+3 | R | Lean R | Aug-6 | Carl Marlinga | $2,596,072 | John James | $8,287,451 | |
| Minnesota | MN-02 | Angie Craig | D+1 | D | Lean D | Aug-13 | Angie Craig | $7,852,933 | Joe Teirab | $2,966,229 | |
| Nebraska | NE-02 | Don Bacon | EVEN | R | Tossup | May-14 | Tony Vargas | $6,746,766 | Don Bacon | $5,944,820 | |
| Nevada | NV-03 | Susie Lee | D+1 | D | Lean D | Jun-11 | Susie Lee | $5,667,750 | Drew Johnson | $1,296,245 | |
| New Jersey | NJ-07 | Thomas Kean | R+1 | R | Lean R | Jun-4 | Sue Altman | $5,638,730 | Thomas Kean | $5,558,101 | |
| New Mexico | NM-02 | Gabe Vasquez | D+1 | D | Toss Up | Jun-4 | Gabe Vasquez | $6,483,548 | Yvette Herrell | $3,958,577 | |
| New York | NY-18 | Pat Ryan | D+2 | D | Lean D | Jun-25 | Pat Ryan | $7,543,210 | Alison Esposito | $2,176,423 | |
| New York | NY-22 | Brandon Williams | D+3 | R | Lean D | Jun-25 | John Mannion | $3,555,502 | Brandon Williams | $3,938,363 | |
| New York | NY-04 | Anthony DEsposito | D+5 | R | Toss Up | Jun-25 | Laura Gillen | $6,127,580 | Anthony DEsposito | $4,419,902 | |
| New York | NY-17 | Mike Lawler | D+3 | R | Lean R | Jun-25 | Mondaire Jones | $9,057,157 | Mike Lawler | $7,777,943 | |
| New York | NY-19 | Marc Molinaro | R+1 | R | Toss Up | Jun-25 | Josh Riley | $8,760,534 | Marc Molinaro | $5,119,951 | |
| North Carolina | NC-01 | Don Davis | R+1 | D | Toss Up | Mar-5 | Don Davis | $5,599,492 | Laurie Buckhout | $4,279,685 | |
| Ohio | OH-09 | Marcy Kaptur | R+3 | D | Lean D | Mar-19 | Marcy Kaptur | $4,483,047 | Derek Merrin | $1,480,664 | |
| Ohio | OH-13 | Emilia Sykes | R+1 | D | Lean D | Mar-19 | Emilia Sykes | $4,949,666 | Kevin Coughlin | $1,443,635 | |
| Oregon | OR-06 | Andrea Salinas | D+4 | D | Lean D | May-21 | Andrea Salinas | $5,007,770 | Mike Erickson | $544,612 | |
| Oregon | OR-05 | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | D+2 | R | Tossup | May-21 | Janelle Bynum | $6,436,776 | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | $5,698,142 | |
| Pennsylvania | PA-17 | Chris Deluzio | EVEN | D | Lean D | Apr-23 | Chris Deluzio | $4,700,672 | Rob Mercuri | $1,681,625 | |
| Pennsylvania | PA-07 | Susan Wild | R+2 | D | Toss Up | Apr-23 | Susan Wild | $8,160,815 | Ryan MacKenzie | $1,507,653 | |
| Pennsylvania | PA-08 | Matt Cartwright | R+4 | D | Toss Up | Apr-23 | Matt Cartwright | $8,124,143 | Robert Bresnahan | $4,124,363 | |
| Pennsylvania | PA-10 | Scott Perry | R+5 | R | Toss Up | Apr-23 | Janelle Stelson | $5,379,810 | Scott Perry | $3,862,884 | |
| Texas | TX-34 | Vicente Gonzalez | D+9 | D | Lean D | May-28 | Vicente Gonzalez | $2,853,782 | Mayra Flores | $6,306,400 | |
| Virginia | VA-07 | OPEN (Spanberger) | D+1 | D | Tossup | Jun-18 | Eugene Vindman | $15,686,040 | Derrick Anderson | $2,851,582 | |
| Virginia | VA-02 | Jen Kiggans | R+2 | R | Lean R | Jun-18 | Missy Cotter Smasal | $2,784,150 | Jen Kiggans | $5,969,764 | |
| Washington | WA-03 | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez | R+5 | D | Toss Up | Aug-6 | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez | $10,699,161 | Joe Kent | $2,311,352 | |
| Wisconsin | WI-03 | Derrick Van Orden | R+4 | R | Lean R | Aug-13 | Rebecca Cooke | $5,300,456 | Derrick Van Orden | $6,627,347 |
Take Action in Virginia
VA07 (Open) Spanberger (D), VA02 (Flip) Kiggans (R)
The Cook PVI (how partisan a congressional district or state is) for the state of Virginia is D+3. In 2023, Democrats managed to flip the VA legislature on the strength of abortion, which continues to be an issue for voters. Two competitive House races have emerged in 2024. VA-07 (PVI of D+1 and rated Lean D), which is now open since the Democratic incumbent, Abigail Spanberger, is running for governor in 2025. Also VA-02 (PVI R+2, rated Lean R) is a potential flip. Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans unseated Elaine Luria in 2022. Former Navy surface warfare officer Missy Cotter Smasal is running as a Democrat. U.S. Sen. Tim Kaine is also running, but it's considered a Solid Democratic seat. Read More Below
Samasal has picked up some key endorsements before the June 18 primary, including: Spanberger, U.S. Rep. Jennifer McClellan (D), U.S. Rep. Jennifer Wexton (D) and former Gov. Ralph Northam (D).
Issues that are likely to be flashpoints in the 2024 election are:
- Reproductive Rights: The governance stakes have focused on reproductive rights, particularly Republican support for limits. The 2023 election showed broad support for abortion access.
- Social Security and Medicare: These programs are a major point of contention between Democrats and Republicans.
- Education: Republicans’s focus on targeting educational curriculum and parents’ rights to decisions made by schools. However, book-banning candidates fared poorly in 2023, so the tactic may backfire.
- Culture Wars: Particularly those targeting the LGBTQ community, are also expected to be a major issue in the 2024 election for both parties.
