Take Action: Nevada

Senate (Rosen), NV-03 (Lee)

The political outlook in the battleground state of Nevada is shaped by many factors, including the state’s demographics, economy, and political history.

In 2024, incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Jackie Rosen is running for a second term. In 2018, Rosen won by 5 points. In NV-03, where Rosen formerly served, U.S. Congresswoman Susie Lee, is seeking a fourth term. A gaggle of Republicans is lining up to oppose her, but Rosen has maintained staunch support in her state in previous elections.

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SENATE RACE

StateIncumbentPVICook RatingPrimary Date
ArizonaKirsten Sinema (I)R+2TossupJul-30
NevadaJacky Rosen (D)EVENLean DJun-11
PennsylvaniaBob Casey (D)R+2Lean DApr-23
WisconsinTammy Baldwin (D)R+2Lean DAug-06
MichiganOpen (D) (Stabinow)EVENLean DAug-06
OhioSherrod Brown (D)R+6TossupMar-19
MontanaJohn Tester (D)R+11Lean DJun-04
COMPETITIVE HOUSE SEATS

StateDistrictIncumbentParty in PowerPartisan LeanCook RatingPrimary DateNew Primary Date
AlaskaAK-00Mary PeltolaDR+8Lean D20-Aug
ArizonaAZ-01David SchweikertRR+2Tossup30-Jul
ArizonaAZ-06Juan CiscomaniRR+3Tossup30-Jul
CaliforniaCA-13John DuarteRD+4Tossup05-Mar
CaliforniaCA-22David ValadaoRD+5Tossup05-Mar
CaliforniaCA-27Mike GarciaRD+4Tossup05-Mar
CaliforniaCA-41Ken CalvertRR+3Tossup05-Mar
CaliforniaCA-45Michelle SteelRD+2Lean R05-Mar
CaliforniaCA-47Open (Porter)DD+3Lean D05-Mar
ColoradoCO-03Lauren BoebertRR+7Tossup25-Jun
ColoradoCO-08Yadira CaraveoDEVENTossup25-Jun
ConnecticutCT-05Jahana HayesDD+3Lean D13-Aug
FloridaFL-05John RutherfordRR+11*Tossup20-Aug
IllinoisIL-17Eric SorensenDD+2Lean D19-Mar
IndianaIN-01Frank J. MrvanDD+3Lean D7-May
IowaIA-03Zach NunnRR+3Lean R4-Jun
LouisianaLA-05Julia LetlowRR+17Tossup5-Nov
MaineME-02Jared GoldenDR+6Tossup18-Jun
MichiganMI-07Open (Slotkin)DR+2Tossup6-Aug
MichiganMI-10John JamesRR+3Lean R6-Aug
NebraskaNE-02Don BaconREVENLean R14-May
NevadaNV-03Susie LeeDD+1Lean D11-Jun
New JerseyNJ-07Thomas Kean Jr.RR+1Tossup4-Jun
New MexicoNM-02Gabe VasquezDD+1Tossup04-Jun
New YorkNY-03OPEN -- (Santos)RD+2Lean D25-Jun
New YorkNY-04Anthony D'EspositoRD+5Tossup25-Jun
New YorkNY-17Mike LawlerRD+3Tossup25-Jun
New YorkNY-18Pat RyanDD+1Lean D25-Jun
New YorkNY-19Marc MolinaroREVENTossup25-Jun
New YorkNY-22Brandon WilliamsRD+1Tossup25-Jun
North CarolinaNC-01Don DavisDD+2Lean D05-Mar
North CarolinaNC-06Kathy ManningDD+4Tossup05-Mar
North CarolinaNC-13Wiley NickelDR+2Tossup05-Mar
North CarolinaNC-14Jeff JacksonDD+6Tossup17-May
OhioOH-01Greg LandsmanDD+2Lean D19-Mar
OhioOH-13Emilia SykesDR+1Tossup19-Mar
OregonOR-05Lori Chavez-DeRemerRD+2Tossup21-May
PennsylvaniaPA-07Susan WildDR+2Tossup23-Apr
PennsylvaniaPA-08Matt CartwrightDR+4Tossup23-Apr
VirginiaVA-07Open (Abigail Spanberger)DD+1Lean D18-Jun
VirginiaVA-02Jen KiggansRR+2Lean R18-Jun
WashingtonWA-03Marie Gluesenkamp PerezDR+5Tossup8/6/2024
WisconsinWI-03Derrick Van OrdenRR+4Lean R06-Aug
MichiganMI-08Open (Kildee)DR+1Lean D06-AugAug-06

Nevada is a diverse state with a large Hispanic population. This demographic group has traditionally supported the Democratic Party, and this trend is expected to continue in the 2024 elections. However, the GOP has made significant inroads and are expected to mount a strong challenge.

The state’s purple lean is clear; Trump won Nevada in 2016 but Biden won in 2020 by 2 points, and the governorship flipped to Democrat in 2022.

The economy is another key factor shaping Nevada’s political outlook. The recovery of the state’s large tourism industry, hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic, will be a key issue.

Rosen is considered one of the most bipartisan senators in the US Senate and has consistently performed well in polls in her state. The issues she lists as most important are:
Lowering costs of prescription drugs, healthcare, and housing for the middle class

  • Defending abortion rights
  • Tackling the climate crisis
  • Protecting Social Security and Medicare

The issues Lee has focused on in Congress include:

  • Climate change: Policies that reduce carbon emissions reduction and clean energy promotion
  • Economy and jobs: Policies that support small businesses and entrepreneurs
  • Education, Improving access to education and reduce student debt
  • Health care, policies that improve access and reduce costs to health care

Events

Postcards Campaigns for Nevada and Ohio

virtual , United States

By march 10! Let Voters in Nevada Know that their Democratic Members of Congress Stand WITH Labor and FOR Housing Affordability; Let Voters in Ohio Know that Senator Sherrod Brown is Fighting for Working Families

Resources

Coordinator(s):
Rina Schneur

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