Take Action: Nevada

Senate (Rosen), NV-03 (Lee)

The political outlook in the battleground state of Nevada is shaped by many factors, including the state’s demographics, economy, and political history.

In 2024, incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Jackie Rosen is running for a second term. In 2018, Rosen won by 5 points. In NV-03, where Rosen formerly served, U.S. Congresswoman Susie Lee, is seeking a fourth term. A gaggle of Republicans is lining up to oppose her, but Rosen has maintained staunch support in her state in previous elections.

[Read More Below]

SENATE RACE

StateIncumbentPVICook RatingPrimary DateDemocratic CandidateRepublican Candidate
ArizonaOPEN -- (Sinema (I))R+2TossupJul-30Ruben Gallego*
NevadaJacky Rosen (D)EVENLean DJun-11Jacky Rosen
PennsylvaniaBob Casey (D)R+2Lean DApr-23Bob CaseyDave McCormick
WisconsinTammy Baldwin (D)R+2Lean DAug-06Tammy Baldwin
MichiganOPEN -- (Stabinow (D))EVENLean DAug-06Elissa Slotkin*
OhioSherrod Brown (D)R+6TossupMar-19Sherrod BrownBernie Moreno
MontanaJon Tester (D)R+11TossupJun-04Jon Tester
COMPETITIVE HOUSE SEATS

StateDistrictIncumbentPartisan LeanParty in PowerCook RatingPrimary DateDem Candidate$ Raised (Dem)Rep Candidate$ Raised (Rep)
AlaskaAK-00Mary PeltolaR+8DLean DAug-20Mary Peltola$2,574,831
ArizonaAZ-01David SchweikertR+2RToss UpJul-30David Schweikert$1,192,101
ArizonaAZ-06Juan CiscomaniR+3RToss UpJul-30Juan Ciscomani$2,452,350
CaliforniaCA-47OPEN (Porter)D+3DLean DMar-5David Min $424,839Scott Baugh$1,903,809
CaliforniaCA-13John DuarteD+4RToss UpMar-5Adam Gray$1,150,422John Duarte$1,813,336
CaliforniaCA-22David ValadaoD+5RToss UpMar-5Rudy Salas$754,435David Valadao$1,640,960
CaliforniaCA-27Mike GarciaD+4RToss UpMar-5George Whitesides$3,047,188Mike Garcia$1,754,767
CaliforniaCA-41Ken CalvertR+3RToss UpMar-5Will Rollins$3,162,026Ken Calvert$2,639,377
CaliforniaCA-45Michelle SteelD+2RLean RMar-5Derek Tran$195,382Michelle Steel$3,218,738
ColoradoCO-08Yadira CaraveoEVENDToss UpJun-25Yadira Caraveo$1,997,583
ColoradoCO-03OPEN (Boebert)R+7RLean RJun-25OPEN (Boebert)
ConnecticutCT-05Jahana HayesD+3DLean DAug-13Jahana Hayes$1,526,492
IllinoisIL-17Eric SorensenD+2DLean DMar-19Eric Sorensen$2,157,618Joseph McGraw$325,191
IndianaIN-01Frank MrvanD+3DLean DMay-7Frank Mrvan$1,238,183
IowaIA-03Zach NunnR+3RLean RJun-4Zach Nunn$1,847,579
MaineME-02Jared GoldenR+6DToss UpJun-11Jared Golden$2,156,439
MichiganMI-07OPEN (Slotkin)R+2DToss UpAug-6
MichiganMI-08OPEN (Kildee)R+1DToss UpAug-6
MichiganMI-10John JamesR+3RLean RAug-6John James$2,958,581
MinnesotaMN-02Angie CraigD+1DLean DAug-13Angie Craig$2,822,415
NebraskaNE-02Don BaconEVENRLean RMay-14Tony Vargas$1,641,255Don Bacon$1,727,525
NevadaNV-03Susie LeeD+1DLean DJun-11Susie Lee$2,179,266
New JerseyNJ-07Thomas KeanR+1RToss UpJun-4Thomas Kean$2,395,291
New MexicoNM-02Gabe VasquezD+1DToss UpJun-4Gabe Vasquez$1,805,859
New YorkNY-18Pat RyanD+2DLean DJun-25Pat Ryan$2,768,926
New YorkNY-22Brandon WilliamsD+3RLean DJun-25Brandon Williams$1,080,376
New YorkNY-04Anthony DEspositoD+5RToss UpJun-25Laura Gillen$879,583Anthony DEsposito$1,363,618
New YorkNY-17Mike LawlerD+3RToss UpJun-25Mondaire Jones$3,115,165Mike Lawler$3,022,485
New YorkNY-19Marc MolinaroR+1RToss UpJun-25Josh Riley$2,508,263Marc Molinaro$1,767,264
North CarolinaNC-01Don DavisR+1DToss UpMar-5Don Davis$1,845,760
OhioOH-09Marcy KapturR+3DToss UpMar-19Marcy Kaptur$1,893,847
OhioOH-13Emilia SykesR+1DToss UpMar-19Emilia Sykes$1,649,815
OregonOR-06Andrea SalinasD+4DLean DMay-21Andrea Salinas$1,601,364
OregonOR-05Lori Chavez-DeRemerD+2RLean RMay-21Janelle Bynum$560,821Lori Chavez-DeRemer$1,878,340
PennsylvaniaPA-17Chris DeluzioEVENDLean DApr-23Chris Deluzio$1,491,729
PennsylvaniaPA-07Susan WildR+2DToss UpApr-23Susan Wild$2,662,153
PennsylvaniaPA-08Matt CartwrightR+4DToss UpApr-23Matt Cartwright$3,151,047
PennsylvaniaPA-10Scott PerryR+5RLean RApr-23Scott Perry$513,461
TexasTX-34Vicente GonzalezD+9DLean DMay-28Vicente Gonzalez$1,452,143
VirginiaVA-07OPEN (Spanberger)D+1DLean DJun-18
VirginiaVA-02Jen KiggansR+2RLean RJun-18Jen Kiggans$1,785,014
WashingtonWA-03Marie Gluesenkamp PerezR+5DToss UpAug-6Marie Gluesenkamp Perez$3,028,214
WisconsinWI-03Derrick Van OrdenR+4RLean RAug-13Derrick Van Orden$1,946,820

Nevada is a diverse state with a large Hispanic population. This demographic group has traditionally supported the Democratic Party, and this trend is expected to continue in the 2024 elections. However, the GOP has made significant inroads and are expected to mount a strong challenge.

The state’s purple lean is clear; Trump won Nevada in 2016 but Biden won in 2020 by 2 points, and the governorship flipped to Democrat in 2022.

The economy is another key factor shaping Nevada’s political outlook. The recovery of the state’s large tourism industry, hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic, will be a key issue.

Rosen is considered one of the most bipartisan senators in the US Senate and has consistently performed well in polls in her state. The issues she lists as most important are:
Lowering costs of prescription drugs, healthcare, and housing for the middle class

  • Defending abortion rights
  • Tackling the climate crisis
  • Protecting Social Security and Medicare

The issues Lee has focused on in Congress include:

  • Climate change: Policies that reduce carbon emissions reduction and clean energy promotion
  • Economy and jobs: Policies that support small businesses and entrepreneurs
  • Education, Improving access to education and reduce student debt
  • Health care, policies that improve access and reduce costs to health care

Events

Resources

Coordinator(s):
Rina Schneur

Menu