Take Action New York

NY-03 (Suozzi; NY-18 (Ryan), Flip:, NY-04 (D'Esposito), NY-17 (Lawler), NY-19 (Molinaro), NY-22 (Williams)

Democrat Tom Suozzi flipped the seat held previously by the Olympic-Gold-Liar Republican George Santos. In November there is an opportunity to flip four more U.S. House seats in New York. Additionally there is one competitive Democratic seat won by Freshman Rep Pat Ryan in NY-18 to defend. If Dems win these races, New York can singularly flip the House.

[Read More on NY Below]

COMPETITIVE RACES IN NEW YORK

StateDistrictIncumbentPartyPartisan LeanCook RatingPrimary DateDem Candidate$ Raised (Dem)Rep Candidate$ Raised (Rep)
AlaskaAK-00Mary PeltolaR+8DLean DAug-20Mary Peltola$2,574,831
ArizonaAZ-01David SchweikertR+2RToss UpJul-30David Schweikert$1,192,101
ArizonaAZ-06Juan CiscomaniR+3RToss UpJul-30Juan Ciscomani$2,452,350
CaliforniaCA-47OPEN (Porter)D+3DLean DMar-5David Min $424,839Scott Baugh$1,903,809
CaliforniaCA-13John DuarteD+4RToss UpMar-5Adam Gray$1,150,422John Duarte$1,813,336
CaliforniaCA-22David ValadaoD+5RToss UpMar-5Rudy Salas$754,435David Valadao$1,640,960
CaliforniaCA-27Mike GarciaD+4RToss UpMar-5George Whitesides$3,047,188Mike Garcia$1,754,767
CaliforniaCA-41Ken CalvertR+3RToss UpMar-5Will Rollins$3,162,026Ken Calvert$2,639,377
CaliforniaCA-45Michelle SteelD+2RLean RMar-5Derek Tran$195,382Michelle Steel$3,218,738
ColoradoCO-08Yadira CaraveoEVENDToss UpJun-25Yadira Caraveo$1,997,583
ColoradoCO-03OPEN (Boebert)R+7RLean RJun-25OPEN (Boebert)
ConnecticutCT-05Jahana HayesD+3DLean DAug-13Jahana Hayes$1,526,492
IllinoisIL-17Eric SorensenD+2DLean DMar-19Eric Sorensen$2,157,618Joseph McGraw$325,191
IndianaIN-01Frank MrvanD+3DLean DMay-7Frank Mrvan$1,238,183
IowaIA-03Zach NunnR+3RLean RJun-4Zach Nunn$1,847,579
MaineME-02Jared GoldenR+6DToss UpJun-11Jared Golden$2,156,439
MichiganMI-07OPEN (Slotkin)R+2DToss UpAug-6
MichiganMI-08OPEN (Kildee)R+1DToss UpAug-6
MichiganMI-10John JamesR+3RLean RAug-6John James$2,958,581
MinnesotaMN-02Angie CraigD+1DLean DAug-13Angie Craig$2,822,415
NebraskaNE-02Don BaconEVENRLean RMay-14Don Bacon$1,727,525
NevadaNV-03Susie LeeD+1DLean DJun-11Susie Lee$2,179,266
New JerseyNJ-07Thomas KeanR+1RToss UpJun-4Thomas Kean$2,395,291
New MexicoNM-02Gabe VasquezD+1DToss UpJun-4Gabe Vasquez$1,805,859
New YorkNY-18Pat RyanD+2DLean DJun-25Pat Ryan$2,768,926
New YorkNY-22Brandon WilliamsD+3DLean DJun-25Brandon Williams$1,080,376
New YorkNY-04Anthony DEspositoD+5RToss UpJun-25Anthony DEsposito$1,363,618
New YorkNY-17Mike LawlerD+3RToss UpJun-25Mike Lawler$3,022,485
New YorkNY-19Marc MolinaroR+1RToss UpJun-25Marc Molinaro$1,767,264
North CarolinaNC-01Don DavisR+1DToss UpMar-5Don Davis$1,845,760
OhioOH-09Marcy KapturR+3DToss UpMar-19Marcy Kaptur$1,893,847
OhioOH-13Emilia SykesR+1DToss UpMar-19Emilia Sykes$1,649,815
OregonOR-06Andrea SalinasD+4DLean DMay-21Andrea Salinas$1,601,364
OregonOR-05Lori Chavez-DeRemerD+2RLean RMay-21Lori Chavez-DeRemer$1,878,340
PennsylvaniaPA-17Chris DeluzioEVENDLean DApr-23Chris Deluzio$1,491,729
PennsylvaniaPA-07Susan WildR+2DToss UpApr-23Susan Wild$2,662,153
PennsylvaniaPA-08Matt CartwrightR+4DToss UpApr-23Matt Cartwright$3,151,047
PennsylvaniaPA-10Scott PerryR+5RLean RApr-23Scott Perry$513,461
TexasTX-34Vicente GonzalezD+9DLean DMay-28Vicente Gonzalez$1,452,143
VirginiaVA-07OPEN (Spanberger)D+1DLean DJun-18
VirginiaVA-02Jen KiggansR+2RLean RJun-18Jen Kiggans$1,785,014
WashingtonWA-03Marie Gluesenkamp PerezR+5DToss UpAug-6Marie Gluesenkamp Perez$3,028,214
WisconsinWI-03Derrick Van OrdenR+4RLean RAug-13Derrick Van Orden$1,946,820

Even considering the good news of Suozzi’s win, Democratic candidates’ holding that seat and NY-18 and flip ingthe four other Congressional seats will be a battle.

Of note are four seats currently held by Republicans – NY-04, NY-17, NY-19, and NY-22. These four are rated Tossups and are eminently “flippable.” First term Democratic incumbent Pat Ryan (NY-18) is running for reelection in a district deemed Lean D.

Some key considerations in New York center on redistricting. The state appeals court has yet to issue its decision on redrawing the maps, but the Independent Redistricting Committee is being allowed to proceed in revising the 2022 maps that favored Republicans.

Responding to the Republican showing in the midterms, the NY Democratic Party and grassroots groups working in the state are taking no vote for granted. Democratic leaders are planning a ballot measure that will enshrine abortion in the state constitution. It’s a move seen as boosting Democratic turnout, which in turn, will help the party win more Congressional and local races.

The 2024 elections will be a crucial test for both parties, and the results will have far-reaching implications for the future of democracy in the state and in the country.

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Coordinator(s):
Rina Schneur

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