Key Races ▸ By State ▸ Nevada

Nevada

House · NV-03 · Susie LeeHOLD

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In Nevada, voters identifying as either Republican or Democrat are split evenly at 28%, while non-enrolled voters represent 38% of the voting population. And, while Nevada has tended to vote for Democratic presidential candidates, the growing independent segment makes off-year election predictions a challenge. It remains a highly-competitive purple state, with a Republican governor and lieutenant governor, while the secretary of state, speaker of the house and attorney general are all Democrats.

Since 2018, U.S. Congresswoman Susie Lee has served Nevada’s 3rd Congressional district, which continues to lean Democratic. NV-03 is a tightly divided Las Vegas-area swing district, and in Lee’s most recent reelection, she won by less than 3 points. She touts her bipartisan approach in Congress as delivering what is important to her state. The Nevada electorate is focused on the economy, stability in the hospitality industry, and the rising cost of living. Lee has focused her campaign on supporting tax credits and federal investments in working families while opposing large tax cuts for the wealthy and corporations.

  • NV-03 (Democratic leaning) is rated 207th most Democratic district in the country.
  • The Nevada Sun endorsed Lee, saying she is a “moderate consensus builder that can get things done even when the opposition party has unified control of Congress, the White House and the courts.”
  • Lee also garnered the endorsements of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, the National Organization for Women PAC, the Planned Parenthood Action Fund, the Culinary Workers Union 226, and Emily’s List.
  • The primary boasted a crowded field, with four Democrats, four Republicans, an Independent, and two unenrolled candidates.
  • NV-03 consists of southern Las Vegas and most of nearby Henderson, the second largest city in the state.
State Map

Key Races in Nevada

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Senate

StateIncumbentPartisan LeanCook RatingVotehub RatingPrimary DateDemocratic Candidate$ Raised (Dem)Republican Candidate$ Raised (Rep)
IowaIowaOPEN - (Joni Ernst (R))R+6Lean R ↑66.4% (R)Lean R2-Jun-26Josh TurekS6IA00298$6,276,527Ashley HinsonS6IA00314$10,217,845
MichiganMichiganOPEN -- (Gary Peters (D))R+0Tossup59.8% (D)Tossup4-Aug-26Abdul El-SayedS6MI00418$14,514,336Mike RogersS4MI00595$10,898,177
New HampshireNew HampshireOPEN -- (Jeanne Shaheen (D))D+2Lean D88.7% (D)Lean D8-Sep-26
North CarolinaNorth CarolinaOPEN -- (Thom Tillis (R))R+1Lean D89.9% (D)Tossup3-Mar-26Roy CooperS6NC00407$34,975,789Michael WhatleyS6NC00415$11,272,504
AlaskaAlaskaDan Sullivan (R)R+6Toss Up50.6% (D)Lean R18-Aug-26Mary PeltolaS6AK00276$18,545,132Dan SullivanS4AK00214$11,735,898
GeorgiaGeorgiaJon Ossoff (D)R+1Lean D92.2% (D)Lean D19-May-26Jon OssoffS8GA00180$97,986,263Mike CollinsS6GA00390$7,409,350
MaineMaineSusan Collins (R)D+4Tossup62.6% (D)Tossup9-Jun-26Troy JacksonS6ME00464$0Susan CollinsS6ME00159$18,930,078
OhioOhioJon Husted (R)R+5Toss Up51.6% (D)Lean R5-May-26Sherrod BrownS6OH00163$38,566,234Jon HustedS6OH00304$14,360,028
TexasTexasJohn Cornyn (R)R+6Lean R51.7% (R)Lean R3-Mar-26James TalaricoS6TX00479$68,555,930Ken PaxtonS6TX00388$9,248,699

House

StateDistrictIncumbentPartisan LeanCook RatingVotehub RatingPrimary DateDem Candidate$ Raised (Dem)Rep Candidate$ Raised (Rep)
ArizonaAZ-01OPEN (David Schweikert (R))RepublicanR+1Toss Up75.1% (D)21-Jul-26Amish ShahH4AZ01194$1,830,193Thomas FeelyH6AZ05190$2,528,497Yes
ArizonaAZ-06Juan Ciscomani (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up76.9% (D)21-Jul-26JoAnna MendozaH6AZ06099$7,354,599Juan CiscomaniH2AZ02360$6,172,867Yes
CaliforniaCA-13Adam Gray (D)DemocraticD+2Lean D96.9% (D)26-Jun-26Adam GrayH2CA13115$4,191,397Kevin LincolnH4CA09093$2,237,084
CaliforniaCA-22David Valadao (R)RepublicanD+1Toss Up78.2% (D)2-Jun-26Randy VillegasH6CA22190$2,645,560David ValadaoH2CA20094$4,927,602Yes
CaliforniaCA-48OPEN (Darrell Issa (R))RepublicanD+2Lean D89.2% (D)26-Jun-26Marni von WilpertH6CA48310$2,174,872Jim DesmondH6CA49128$2,258,836
ColoradoCO-08Gabe Evans (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up79.0% (D)30-Jun-26Manny RutinelH6CO08013$4,336,988Gabe EvansH4CO08034$5,393,673Yes
FloridaFL-14Kathy Castor (D)DemocraticR+4Lean R59.9% (D)18-Aug-26Kathy CastorH6FL11126$2,337,125
FloridaFL-22Lois Frankel (D)DemocraticR+4Lean R69.9% (R)18-Aug-26
FloridaFL-25Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D)DemocraticR+3Toss Up71.2% (D)18-Aug-26Jared MoskowitzH4FL20023$3,300,107
IowaIA-01Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)RepublicanR+4Toss Up69.3% (D)2-Jun-26Christina BohannanH2IA02111$7,051,745Mariannette Miller-MeeksH8IA02043$7,208,271
IowaIA-02OPEN (Ashley Hinson (R))RepublicanR+4Lean R ↑56.5% (R)2-Jun-26Lindsay JamesH6IA02211$1,628,201Joe MitchellH6IA02237$1,938,593
IowaIA-03Zach Nunn (R)RepublicanR+2Toss Up68.4% (D)26-Jun-26Sarah Trone GarriottH6IA03268$5,293,773Zach NunnH2IA03119$4,869,249
MichiganMI-04Bill Huizenga (R)RepublicanR+3Lean R ↑69.2% (R)4-Aug-26Sean McCannH6MI04204$2,620,011Bill HuizengaH0MI02094$4,093,991
MichiganMI-07Tom Barrett (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up58.2% (D)4-Aug-26William LawrenceH6MI07298$1,119,198Tom BarrettH2MI07123$6,306,828
MichiganMI-08Kristen McDonald Rivet (D)DemocraticR+1Lean D95.5% (D)4-Aug-26Kristen McDonald RivetH4MI08218$5,644,876Thomas SmithH6MI08312$0
MichiganMI-10OPEN (John James - (R))RepublicanR+3Lean R60.8% (D)4-Aug-26Christina HinesH6MI10276$1,211,489Michael BouchardH6MI10359$1,433,729
North CarolinaNC-01Don Davis (D)DemocraticR+5Lean R53.0% (D)3-Mar-26Don DavisH2NC02287$4,287,386Laurie BuckhoutH4NC01137$3,793,077
North CarolinaNC-11Chuck Edwards (R)RepublicanR+5Lean R ↑60.4% (D)26-Mar-26Jamie AgerH6NC11248$3,052,354Chuck EdwardsH2NC14050$939,985
NebraskaNE-02OPEN (Don Bacon (R))RepublicanD+3Lean D91.8% (D)12-May-26Denise PowellH6NE02174$2,668,287Brinker HardingH6NE02208$2,034,386
New JerseyNJ-07Thomas Kean (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up76.8% (D)2-Jun-26Rebecca BennettH6NJ07201$4,272,034Thomas KeanH0NJ07261$4,892,807
New MexicoNM-02Gabe Vasquez (D)DemocraticEVENLean D94.2% (D)2-Jun-26Gabe VasquezH2NM02191$3,784,102Greg CunninghamH6NM02127$1,510,080
NevadaNV-03Susie Lee (D)DemocraticD+1Lean D89.5% (D)9-Jun-26Susie LeeH6NV04020$4,401,421Marty O'Donnell H6NV03204$4,055,410
New YorkNY-03Tom Suozzi (D)DemocraticEVENLean D92.2% (D)26-Jun-26Tom SuozziH6NY03247$5,456,698Michael LiPetriH0NY02267$1,666,542
New YorkNY-04Laura Gillen (D)DemocraticD+2Lean D95.4% (D)23-Jun-26Laura GillenH2NY04244$5,097,222
Jeanine Driscoll
H6NY04211$264,824
New YorkNY-17Mike Lawler (R)RepublicanD+1Toss Up67.9% (D)23-Jun-26H6NY17171$4,317,457Mike LawlerH2NY17162$8,172,046
New YorkNY-19Josh Riley (D)DemocraticD+1Likely D ↑91.6% (D)23-Jun-26Josh RileyH8NY22177$4,825,666
Peter Oberacker
H6NY19268$1,237,179
OhioOH-01Greg Landsman (D)DemocraticR+1Lean D89.3% (D)26-May-26Greg LandsmanH2OH01194$4,633,250Eric ConroyH6OH01138$1,513,614
OhioOH-07Max Miller (R)RepublicanR+5Toss Up68.8% (D)5-May-26Brian PoindexterH6OH07168$603,156Max MillerH2OH16051$2,142,562
OhioOH-09Marcy Kaptur (D)DemocraticR+5Toss Up69.6% (D)5-May-26Marcy KapturH2OH09031$4,303,416Derek MerrinH4OH09169$1,508,953
PennsylvaniaPA-07Ryan MacKenzie (R)RepublicanR+1Toss Up69.0% (D)19-May-26Bob BrooksH6PA07188$2,392,215Ryan MacKenzieH8PA15195$4,357,405
PennsylvaniaPA-08Rob Bresnahan (R)RepublicanR+4Toss Up61.2% (D)19-May-26Paige CognettiH6PA08293$4,609,589Rob BresnahanH4PA08124$5,234,586
TexasTX-15Monica De La Cruz (R)RepublicanR+7Lean R51.3% (R)3-Mar-26Bobby PulidoH6TX15246$2,960,462Monica De La CruzH0TX15124$5,273,960
PennsylvaniaPA-10Scott Perry (R)RepublicanR+3Toss Up72.9% (D)19-May-26Janelle StelsonH4PA10104$6,364,069Scott PerryH2PA04135$5,194,925
TexasTX-28Henry Cuellar (D)DemocraticR+3Lean D88.2% (D)3-Mar-26Henry CuellarH2TX23082$2,231,952Tano TijerinaH6TX28124$1,399,881
TexasTX-34Vicente Gonzalez (D)DemocraticR+3Toss Up79.0% (D)3-Mar-26Vicente GonzalezH6TX15162$3,773,915Eric FloresH6TX34080$2,874,990
VirginiaVA-01Robert Wittman (R)RepublicanR+3Lean R60.8% (R)4-Aug-26Shannon TaylorH6VA01299$2,140,930Robert WittmanH8VA01147$4,053,142
VirginiaVA-02Jen Kiggans (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up69.5% (D)4-Aug-26Elaine LuriaH6VA02198$4,659,795Jen KiggansH2VA02064$5,954,338
WashingtonWA-03Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D)DemocraticR+2Toss Up83.0% (D)4-Aug-26Marie Gluesenkamp PerezH2WA03217$6,292,683John BraunH6WA03275$2,051,284
WisconsinWI-03Derrick Van Orden (R)RepublicanR+3Toss Up62.5% (D)11-Aug-26Rebecca CookeH4WI03169$8,601,146Derrick Van OrdenH0WI03175$7,526,052

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