Key Races ▸ By State ▸ Nevada

Nevada

House · NV-03 · Susie LeeHOLD

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In Nevada, voters identifying as either Republican or Democrat are split evenly at 28%, while non-enrolled voters represent 38% of the voting population. And, while Nevada has tended to vote for Democratic presidential candidates, the growing independent segment makes off-year election predictions a challenge. It remains a highly-competitive purple state, with a Republican governor and lieutenant governor, while the secretary of state, speaker of the house and attorney general are all Democrats.

Since 2018, U.S. Congresswoman Susie Lee has served Nevada’s 3rd Congressional district, which continues to lean Democratic. NV-03 is a tightly divided Las Vegas-area swing district, and in Lee’s most recent reelection, she won by less than 3 points. She touts her bipartisan approach in Congress as delivering what is important to her state. The Nevada electorate is focused on the economy, stability in the hospitality industry, and the rising cost of living. Lee has focused her campaign on supporting tax credits and federal investments in working families while opposing large tax cuts for the wealthy and corporations.

  • NV-03 (Democratic leaning) is rated 207th most Democratic district in the country.
  • The Nevada Sun endorsed Lee, saying she is a “moderate consensus builder that can get things done even when the opposition party has unified control of Congress, the White House and the courts.”
  • Lee also garnered the endorsements of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, the National Organization for Women PAC, the Planned Parenthood Action Fund, the Culinary Workers Union 226, and Emily’s List.
  • The primary boasted a crowded field, with four Democrats, four Republicans, an Independent, and two unenrolled candidates.
  • NV-03 consists of southern Las Vegas and most of nearby Henderson, the second largest city in the state.
State Map

Key Races in Nevada

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Senate

StateIncumbentPartisan LeanCook RatingVotehub RatingPrimary DateDemocratic Candidate$ Raised (Dem)Republican Candidate$ Raised (Rep)
IowaIowaOPEN - (Joni Ernst (R))R+6Toss Up ↑56.0% (R)Lean R2-Jun-26Josh TurekS6IA00298$6,276,527Ashley HinsonS6IA00314$10,217,845
KansasKansasRoger Marshall (R)R+8Toss Up ↑68.1% (R)4-Aug-26Adam HamiltonS6KS00312$4,169,078Roger MarshallS0KS00315$6,205,622
MichiganMichiganOPEN -- (Gary Peters (D))R+0Tossup71.9% (D)Tossup4-Aug-26Abdul El-SayedS6MI00418$14,514,336Mike RogersS4MI00595$10,898,177
New HampshireNew HampshireOPEN -- (Jeanne Shaheen (D))D+2Lean D ↑88.6% (D)Lean D8-Sep-26Chris PappasS6NH00141$15,384,657John E. SununuS6NH00208$4,180,252
AlaskaAlaskaDan Sullivan (R)R+6Toss Up67.5% (D)Lean R18-Aug-26Mary PeltolaS6AK00276$18,545,132Dan SullivanS4AK00214$11,735,898
MaineMaineSusan Collins (R)D+4Tossup61.8% (D)Tossup9-Jun-26Troy JacksonS6ME00464$0Susan CollinsS6ME00159$18,930,078
OhioOhioJon Husted (R)R+5Toss Up67.3% (D)Lean R5-May-26Sherrod BrownS6OH00163$38,566,234Jon HustedS6OH00304$14,360,028
TexasTexasJohn Cornyn (R)R+6Toss Up ↑63.5% (D)Lean R3-Mar-26James TalaricoS6TX00479$68,560,930Ken PaxtonS6TX00388$9,248,692

House

StateDistrictIncumbentPartisan LeanCook RatingVotehub RatingPrimary DateDem Candidate$ Raised (Dem)Rep Candidate$ Raised (Rep)
PennsylvaniaPA-01Brian Fitzpatrick (R)D+1Lean R ↑63.2% (R)19-May-26Bob HarvieH6PA01181$2,007,499Brian FitzpatrickH6PA08277$6,734,931
MaineME-02OPEN (Jared Golden (D))R+4Lean R ↑64.6% (R)9-Jun-26H6ME02171$1,205,432Paul LePageH6ME02148$2,563,901
KentuckyKY-06OPEN (Barr) (R)R+7Lean R69.6% (R)19-May-26Zach DemboH6KY06184$1,463,855Ralph AlvaradoH6KY06192$1,521,813
ColoradoCO-05Jeff Crank (R)RepublicanR+5Lean R64.2% (R)30-Jun-26Jessica KillinH6CO05324$3,143,744Jeff CrankH6CO05142$2,177,288
TexasTX-35OPEN (Casar) (D)DemocraticR+4Lean R59.5% (D)3-Mar-26Johnny GarciaH6TX35095$931,699Carlos de la CruzH6TX35087$1,048,751
WisconsinWI-01Bryan Steil (R)R+2Lean R ↑67.8% (R)11-Aug-26Mitchell BermanH6WI01283$712,984Bryan SteilH8WI01156$5,467,777
MontanaMT-01OPEN (Zinke (R))R+5Lean R ↑62.4% (R)2-Jun-26Sam ForstagH6MT01137$1,382,873Aaron FlintH6MT01152$1,303,394
FloridaFL-27Maria Elvira Salazar (R)R+6Lean R ↑63.5% (R)18-Aug-26Eliott RodriguezH6FL27098$661,173Maria Elvira SalazarH8FL27185$1,999,399
FloridaFL-13Anna Paulina Luna (R)R+6Lean R ↑78.6% (R)18-Aug-26Leela GrayH6FL13312$1,223,069Anna Paulina LunaH0FL13158$3,233,312
ArizonaAZ-01OPEN (David Schweikert (R))RepublicanR+1Lean D ↑79.8% (D)21-Jul-26Amish ShahH4AZ01194$1,830,193Thomas FeelyH6AZ05190$2,528,497Yes
ArizonaAZ-06Juan Ciscomani (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up81.4% (D)21-Jul-26JoAnna MendozaH6AZ06099$7,354,808Juan CiscomaniH2AZ02360$6,172,867Yes
CaliforniaCA-22David Valadao (R)RepublicanD+1Toss Up79.8% (D)2-Jun-26Randy VillegasH6CA22190$2,645,566David ValadaoH2CA20094$4,927,602Yes
CaliforniaCA-48OPEN (Darrell Issa (R))RepublicanD+2Lean D86.5% (D)26-Jun-26Marni von WilpertH6CA48310$2,174,872Jim DesmondH6CA49128$2,258,836
ColoradoCO-08Gabe Evans (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up85.0% (D)30-Jun-26Manny RutinelH6CO08013$4,336,988Gabe EvansH4CO08034$5,393,673Yes
FloridaFL-14Kathy Castor (D)DemocraticR+4Toss Up ↑66.9% (D)18-Aug-26Kathy CastorH6FL11126$2,337,999Mike BeltranH6FL14237$2,125,730
FloridaFL-22Lois Frankel (D)DemocraticR+4Toss Up ↑63.3% (R)18-Aug-26Pia DandiyaH6FL21059$2,284,052Casey AskarH6FL22248$2,587,502
FloridaFL-25Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D)DemocraticR+3Toss Up75.7% (D)18-Aug-26Jared MoskowitzH4FL20023$3,300,107Scott SingerH6FL23188$2,265,702
IowaIA-01Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)RepublicanR+4Lean D ↑76.5% (D)2-Jun-26Christina BohannanH2IA02111$7,051,745Mariannette Miller-MeeksH8IA02043$7,208,271
IowaIA-02OPEN (Ashley Hinson (R))RepublicanR+4Toss Up ↑50.1% (R)2-Jun-26Lindsay JamesH6IA02211$1,628,201Joe MitchellH6IA02237$1,938,593
IowaIA-03Zach Nunn (R)RepublicanR+2Lean D ↑74.4% (D)26-Jun-26Sarah Trone GarriottH6IA03268$5,293,773Zach NunnH2IA03119$4,869,249
MichiganMI-04Bill Huizenga (R)RepublicanR+3Toss Up ↑63.5% (R)4-Aug-26Sean McCannH6MI04204$2,620,011Bill HuizengaH0MI02094$4,093,991
MichiganMI-07Tom Barrett (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up56.4% (D)4-Aug-26William LawrenceH6MI07298$1,119,198Tom BarrettH2MI07123$6,306,828
MichiganMI-10OPEN (John James - (R))RepublicanR+3Toss Up ↑63.7% (D)4-Aug-26Christina HinesH6MI10276$1,211,489Michael BouchardH6MI10359$1,623,745
North CarolinaNC-01Don Davis (D)DemocraticR+5Toss Up ↑64.1% (D)3-Mar-26Don DavisH2NC02287$4,287,386Laurie BuckhoutH4NC01137$3,793,077
North CarolinaNC-11Chuck Edwards (R)RepublicanR+5Toss Up ↑67.4% (D)26-Mar-26Jamie AgerH6NC11248$3,052,354Chuck EdwardsH2NC14050$939,985
New JerseyNJ-07Thomas Kean (R)RepublicanEVENLean D ↑82.7% (D)2-Jun-26Rebecca BennettH6NJ07201$4,272,034Thomas KeanH0NJ07261$4,892,807
New YorkNY-17Mike Lawler (R)RepublicanD+1Toss Up66.5% (D)23-Jun-26H6NY17171$4,317,457Mike LawlerH2NY17162$8,172,046
OhioOH-01Greg Landsman (D)DemocraticR+1Lean D90.4% (D)26-May-26Greg LandsmanH2OH01194$4,633,250Eric ConroyH6OH01138$1,513,614
OhioOH-07Max Miller (R)RepublicanR+5Toss Up75.2% (D)5-May-26Brian PoindexterH6OH07168$603,156Max MillerH2OH16051$2,142,562
OhioOH-09Marcy Kaptur (D)DemocraticR+5Toss Up70.4% (D)5-May-26Marcy KapturH2OH09031$4,303,416Derek MerrinH4OH09169$1,508,953
PennsylvaniaPA-07Ryan MacKenzie (R)RepublicanR+1Lean D ↑76.4% (D)19-May-26Bob BrooksH6PA07188$2,392,215Ryan MacKenzieH8PA15195$4,357,405
PennsylvaniaPA-08Rob Bresnahan (R)RepublicanR+4Toss Up67.0% (D)19-May-26Paige CognettiH6PA08293$4,609,589Rob BresnahanH4PA08124$5,234,586
TexasTX-15Monica De La Cruz (R)RepublicanR+7Toss Up ↑73.6% (D)3-Mar-26Bobby PulidoH6TX15246$2,960,462Monica De La CruzH0TX15124$5,273,960
PennsylvaniaPA-10Scott Perry (R)RepublicanR+3Lean D ↑75.0% (D)19-May-26Janelle StelsonH4PA10104$8,689,755Scott PerryH2PA04135$5,194,925
TexasTX-34Vicente Gonzalez (D)DemocraticR+3Toss Up86.1% (D)3-Mar-26Vicente GonzalezH6TX15162$3,773,915Eric FloresH6TX34080$2,874,990
VirginiaVA-01Robert Wittman (R)RepublicanR+3Toss Up ↑54.6% (R)4-Aug-26Shannon TaylorH6VA01299$2,140,980Robert WittmanH8VA01147$4,053,142
VirginiaVA-02Jen Kiggans (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up77.7% (D)4-Aug-26Elaine LuriaH6VA02198$4,659,795Jen KiggansH2VA02064$5,954,338
WashingtonWA-03Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D)DemocraticR+2Lean D ↑85.3% (D)4-Aug-26Marie Gluesenkamp PerezH2WA03217$6,292,683John BraunH6WA03275$2,214,441
WisconsinWI-03Derrick Van Orden (R)RepublicanR+3Toss Up67.7% (D)11-Aug-26Rebecca CookeH4WI03169$8,601,146Derrick Van OrdenH0WI03175$7,526,052

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  • 2026 States Win &Partners National Phonebanks!

    2026 States Win &Partners National Phonebanks!
    virtual , United States

    Join States Win in creating a blue wave across state legislatures! 🌊
    We are calling voters in key state legislature districts to get out the vote and help elect Democrats and build enduring progressive power.

    Join us for a virtual phonebank, where we’ll be calling for our endorsed candidates in targeted states:

    Tuesdays at 6pm ET
    Wednesdays at 6pm ET
    Thursdays at 4pm ET
    Saturdays at 12pm ET

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