Early Voting Begins: Wed, Oct 14
Iowa’s three Republican-held House seats — Iowa 1st, 2nd (open), and 3rd Congressional distrits — are Democratic targets in 2026, especially Iowa’s 1st and 3rd. With rising concerns around healthcare costs, water quality, and support for rural communities, Democrats see an opportunity to compete in districts that have trended Republican but remain highly responsive to economic and quality-of-life issues.
In IA-01, Democrat Christina Bohannan is competing in a rematch against Republican incumbent Marianette Miller-Meeks, who had won her seat in 2024 by only 799 votes. Bohanan is a law professor and former engineer who served as an Iowa State Representative from 2021 to 2023. Miller-Meeks is under fire in her district for repeatedly voting against continuing healthcare subsidies, her lack of accessibility to voters, and alignment with national Republican policies.
In IA-03, Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott, currently a member of the Iowa State Senate, faces incumbent Republican Zach Nunn, whose backers include Vice President JD Vance, which may not help his chances. Nunn’s action of hitting the phone out of the hand a Democrat asking about rural hospital closures has gone viral.
| State | Incumbent | Partisan Lean | Cook Rating | Votehub Rating | Democratic Candidate | $ Raised (Dem) | Republican Candidate | $ Raised (Rep) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | Iowa | OPEN - (Joni Ernst (R)) | R+6 | Toss Up ↑ | 53.5% (R) | Lean R | 2-Jun-26 | Josh Turek | S6IA00298 | $24,290,521 | Ashley Hinson | S6IA00314 | $14,147,973 |
| Kansas | Kansas | Roger Marshall (R) | R+8 | Toss Up ↑ | 51.6% (R) | 4-Aug-26 | Adam Hamilton | S6KS00312 | $19,175,044 | Roger Marshall | S0KS00315 | $7,546,611 | |
| Minnesota | Minnesota | OPEN (Smith) (D) | D+3 | Lean D | 88.7% (D) | Peggy Flanagan | S6MN00440 | $11,563,963 | Michele Tafoya | S6MN00556 | $12,501,786 | ||
| South Carolina | South Carolina | Darline Graham (R) | R+8 | Lean R | 73.0% (R) | Annie Andrews | S6SC04239 | $24,216,841 | Darline Graham | S6SC04437 | $1,917,646 | ||
| Nebraska | Pete Ricketts (R) | R+10 | Lean R ↑ | 70.6% (R) | Likely R | 12-May-26 | Dan Osborn, IND | S4NE00207 | $11,029,845 | Pete Ricketts | S6NE00129 | $14,546,959 | |
| Michigan | Michigan | OPEN -- (Gary Peters (D)) | R+0 | Lean D ↑ | 78.6% (D) | Tossup | 4-Aug-26 | Abdul El-Sayed | S6MI00418 | $53,830,872 | Mike Rogers | S4MI00595 | $23,016,439 |
| New Hampshire | New Hampshire | OPEN -- (Jeanne Shaheen (D)) | D+2 | Lean D ↑ | 90.2% (D) | Lean D | 8-Sep-26 | Chris Pappas | S6NH00141 | $23,703,648 | John E. Sununu | S6NH00208 | $5,681,528 |
| Alaska | Alaska | Dan Sullivan (R) | R+6 | Toss Up | 65.7% (D) | Lean R | 18-Aug-26 | Mary Peltola | S6AK00276 | $36,887,509 | Dan Sullivan | S4AK00214 | $14,107,205 |
| Maine | Maine | Susan Collins (R) | D+4 | Tossup | 70.6% (D) | Tossup | 9-Jun-26 | Troy Jackson | S6ME00464 | $26,872,874 | Susan Collins | S6ME00159 | $25,225,468 |
| Ohio | Ohio | Jon Husted (R) | R+5 | Toss Up | 69.0% (D) | Lean R | 5-May-26 | Sherrod Brown | S6OH00163 | $68,409,200 | Jon Husted | S6OH00304 | $19,894,786 |
| Texas | Texas | John Cornyn (R) | R+6 | Toss Up ↑ | 70.2% (D) | Lean R | 3-Mar-26 | James Talarico | S6TX00479 | $146,349,912 | Ken Paxton | S6TX00388 | $22,327,474 |
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